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https://twitter.com/kristen_shilton/status/1173936885707808770 Looks like Henny is mixing up Mango and Kappy, but all the rest is right.

And Boeser is only a 3 yr deal, only buying up RFA years.  With a Qualifying Offer of 7.5M required for the 4th year.

And DJ Smith goes full-Babs with the media:

I'm dissapointed Marner went for the re-setting the market contract- I was hoping he'd come in at a more reasonable cost. That said, the argument that this deal is bad because Kucherov makes 9.5M x 8 and Marner makes 10.9 x 6 has some valid points (namely UFA vs RFA)- but it can also be argued...

Well, Beijing Open runs Sept 28 - Oct 6. , she's announced that she is targetting to get back on the court for that tournament (I'm surprised she's not doing the Wuhan open the week before, a fair amount of points available there), and based on recent history, she'll be tied up for both the home...

In my example, 2 million is the minimum.  Its based on his current 13.4% of the cap offer.  If he truly is a superstar, he'll command more.

Bet on yourself. I made that up just now too, BTW.

Why would he take 7x11 if he thinks he can get 3x9 and then get another big contract in three years? 7 x 11 = 77M 3 x 9 + 4 x 13 = 79M While 13M sounds crazy now, in 3 years there will be a new US TV deal.  Increasing the US TV deal from 200M US per year to likely 1B US per year would increase...

I will say this is just a hunch and I don't have data to back it up- so feel free to disagree or blast me.  These models are now using expected goals instead of Corsi to try and isolate impact- which I think is an improvement.  Obviously a shot from the top of the slot is gonna be very good. ...

A reminder that EW's projections are based on previous contract comparables in terms of points, TOI, and mostly non-advanced stats.  EW themselves are skeptical its a good deal: https://twitter.com/EvolvingWild/status/1172311580807184384...

EDIT TUrns out I was wrong.  The 50% and 35% rules only apply to back-diving deals.

He'd have ZERO leverage for that.  If he doesnt' sign, he's not earning more than a couple of million in the KHL or a couple hundred thousand in the NLA.  Anything above 4M is the Leafs hoping to gain favour with their camp by not squeezing him extremely hard in that situation.

Agreed.  As CtB point out, I'd hold firm if I was Dubas.  I know Dubas has said he doesn't want to go down that road again after what went down with Nylander- but at least Nylander was being reasonable.

No, only if he signs and offer sheet with another team and the Leafs don't match.  Him signing with a european team basically rules out an offersheet.

No, it doesn't seem like a bad idea actually.  If I'm the Leafs I'm not going to capitulate to his demands when this might work in our favour.

Certainly, but the only way they can fit him in under the cap on November 30th is likely on a 1 year deal.  Maybe a 2 year one.  And then we have to deal with this all again in 4 months.

I can.  If he's steadfast that he wants a shorter term I can see why he'd turn that down. 

No, but he did say yesterday that they did offer him a contract. 

As my friend said when i told him about that news.... fuck the habs

She's 700 points back from first in the Year-to-date rankings, with a number of big tournaments left (Beijing- 1000 pts to winner, Wuhan - 900 pts to winner, WTA Finals - 1500 to winner) where she only has room to go up while the four players ahead of her have lots of points they'd have to...