The Raw Numbers (To Be Updated with Future Moves)

[L K]

OUT: Clarke MacArthur, Ryan Hamilton, Mike Kotska (assumption), Mikhail Grabovski, Leo Komarov, Matt Frattin
IN: David Clarkson, TJ Brennan, Dave Bolland

Year		GP		Goals		Assists		Points		+/-		PIM		GiveAway		TakeAway		Blocks		Hits			ES Points		PP Points		PK Points
Outgoing Players		250		29		41		70		-4		105		126		73		163		405			58		12		0
Incoming Players		112		25		23		48		-22		108		40		41		56		158			32		15		1
NET Change		-138		-4		-18		-22		-18		+3		+86		-32		-107		-247			-26		+3		+1

There are obviously a lot of moves that need to be done to shore up the lineup at this point but on the whole, the Leafs are going to hit less, block fewer shots and probably be a net-neutral offensive team next year given that they need to make up 22 points based on their 3rd/4th lines and bottom pairing defensemen.

Some of that offense might improve if Kadri maintains last years pace and Gardiner produces offensively.  I'm just not seeing the big difference in the team on a very superficial basis.  That being said I think there were enough flaws in the team last year that things had to change.  I'm just not sure how much they will.

 

[maplesyrup]

Isn't there a big + now in giveaways versus takeaways now and maybe that should be included?

Edit: Thanks L.K.

 

[mr grieves]

Isn't there a big + now in giveaways versus takeaways now and maybe that should be included?

As long as we're including made up stats like hits, probably.

 

[Stickytape]

Forgive me, I'm not a stats guy, but isn't this stat block just telling us that we lost 6 guys and only got 3 guys in return?

 

[Kin]

Forgive me, I'm not a stats guy, but isn't this stat block just telling us that we lost 6 guys and only got 3 guys in return?

A little bit. If you assume that the games played is going to be a constant and pro-rate the numbers then the Leafs actually do pretty well(they're up 38 points for instance).

That doesn't work particularly well either though because the players that the Leafs have added in Bolland/Clarkson are probably going to be the main contributors of who they add but the majority of the difference there is probably going to be made up by players who are already on the team but in expanded roles. Gardiner/Colborne and so on.