Nik the Trik said:
...I think Dubas is generally bright enough to know that just firing someone for not attaining a level of success that is hoped for or expected isn't usually the best way to go about things without there being a specific problem that the coach is either unable or unwilling to resolve.
Plus so many factors out of the control of the coach (or management or players) that can affect a playoff run. All it takes is a slapshot on the last game of the regular season during a Leaf powerplay that riccochet's off Matthews and into Tavares, shattering one's wrist and breaking the other's ankle. Kiss any playoff hopes goodbye.
As you say, it would take a specific issue that a coach is capable of solving and for some reason refuses to. I've always had the sense the Mike is pretty open to suggestion as long as it's backed up, and Dubas has always come across as someone who is very open to debating such things, so I have some trouble imagining such a scenario.
My guess would be that Babcock's tenure will end when he loses the room in a way similar to what was reported to be happening towards the end in Detroit. He's so intense all the time, and constantly pushing and needling, so I expect he has a shelf life after which that ceases to be effective (much like Keenan or Torts or Bowman for that matter). He hasn't hit that point yet, and isn't likely to this year. I would think he has 3 or 4 year leash remaining as long as the team is performing in that 100+ point pace and winning a round or two each year in the playoffs. Hopefully one of those will be a Cup run, but as the Caps and Bolts can attest it might take a few kicks at the can before eventually succeeding.