herman said:Nik Bethune said:A very good podcast with an interview with Dr. David Fisman, who I think Herman mentioned earlier, about why Ontario isn't handling the crisis very well:
https://thebigstorypodcast.ca/2020/05/27/what-is-ontario-doing-wrong-on-covid-19/
Haha what did I mention now? I have no recollection of this, but thanks for the share!
We're several months past it now, but there was a huge window of opportunity for North America to handle this properly, but due to leadership being what it is here...
A) Asian countries were raising the alarm bells back in October. Most of them knew SARS up close and personal and put measures in place after they recovered to ensure this didn't catch them off guard again; i.e. lots of examples of procedure and messaging and equipment; western nations seemingly scoffed from afar and said, that wouldn't happen here.
B) It did. Italy, Spain, UK, all got thrashed thoroughly for taking it chill, and their subsequent warnings to the rest of the world went mostly unheeded. Those Twitter threads from front-line workers were chilling and heart-breaking.
C) It was WINTER when the virus started to appear more serious here. If our governments took the warnings seriously: manufacturing should have been leveraged immediately towards masks, tests, care facilities, ventilators (a bit late for that); distancing measures should have been spun up when it was cold and snowy anyway instead of... March Break.
Is there significant economic impact to shutting things down so early? Um yes, but you know what else is a significant economic impact? Letting things drag out over 2-3 years with periodic shutdowns because either people are buttholes and selfish, or there are no social infrastructures for supporting/sheltering all citizens in times of need.
What's the state of testing and contact tracing in Ontario/Canada more broadly at the moment? Every intelligent person I've heard has suggested that the key to sustained reopening is not just saying "we're open" but having massive testing infrastructure to continuously test in risky places (healthcare, elderly care, meat packing, perhaps other essential services, for instance), test at immigration sites, ensure anyone who wants a test can get one at any time, and also to do randomized testing throughout the population.
Has Canada articulated a plan for achieving that state of affairs? What has to be done to get there? If we can get to that point, then having hockey (without fans), for example, seems like a reasonable thing to do. It's another thing that would require a lot of testing but if we can test all of the above then the tests committed to (and paid for by) hockey wouldn't be taking resources away from other essential uses.