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Does seem a little on the high side for a ~20 goal, ~45 point C with questionable defence. Most centers in that cap range a much stronger offensive producers (though, they're mostly on contracts signed a few seasons ago). It is however right in line with the contract Lou gave Zajac.
I get the sense that with the way scoring jumped last year and so many guys but up career numbers there are a lot of contracts that are going to look really high at first but probably will probably just look like GMs doing a bad job of accounting for the different reality when all is said and done.
Obviously there's differences between a centre vs. a winger and being a goal scorer vs. a playmaker (*cough* *cough*), but it's interesting to compare this deal with the one his teammate Josh Bailey got last season.
Bailey had a career season where he scored 76 points and got 6 years with a $5mil AAV.
Nelson had a career season where he scored 53 points and got 6 years with a $6mil AAV.
Obviously there's differences between a centre vs. a winger and being a goal scorer vs. a playmaker (*cough* *cough*), but it's interesting to compare this deal with the one his teammate Josh Bailey got last season.
Bailey had a career season where he scored 76 points and got 6 years with a $5mil AAV.
Nelson had a career season where he scored 53 points and got 6 years with a $6mil AAV.
Obviously there's differences between a centre vs. a winger and being a goal scorer vs. a playmaker (*cough* *cough*), but it's interesting to compare this deal with the one his teammate Josh Bailey got last season.
Bailey had a career season where he scored 76 points and got 6 years with a $5mil AAV.
Nelson had a career season where he scored 53 points and got 6 years with a $6mil AAV.
One paid for what the player should be expect to produce, based on multiple seasons. The other paid based on a career season that will almost certainly not be improved upon, and is quite likely not to be repeated multiple times.
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