Kin
New member
princedpw said:It's just a general impression. I don't have any particular stats on hand that back that up. It's really more that winning the stanley cup when your top player is a center or defensemen seems more common than when the top player is a winger. That's not based on any particular measurement but Crosby/Malkin, Toews/Keith (not to ignore Kane completely), Datsyuk/Lidstrom, Kopitar/Doughty come to mind when I think of recent winners.
I do believe I have seen some stats that suggest that top-end forwards are more reliable 1st round picks than defensmen, but I don't have them at my finger tips.
I think I'd worry more about the expected or maybe maximal upside as opposed to the bust rate though.
But of course the experts should have way, way more info on each of these players than I do. I have almost zero.
I agree about the relative importance of centers, what I was asking was about the relative predictability of centers vs. other positions. Personally I've never really gotten that feeling but, like you, I don't have anything in the way of numbers behind that.