2016 NHL Draft Lottery
- Thread starter hockeyfan1
- Start date
L K
Active member
lamajama said:
Entirely based on who wins the first/2nd draft.
The lottery just restarts with the balls invalidated from the first lottery.
So the leafs have 200 of 1000 combinations, Edmonton has 135 out of 1000 combinations, and Boston has 10 of 1000 combinations.
If Edmonton wins the first lottery the Leafs chance in the second would be 200/(1000-135) = 23.1%.
If Boston wins the first lottery the Leafs chance in the second would be 200/(1000-10) = 20.2%
They don't actually take out any balls after the first lottery though. They would do a redraw if they drew Edmonton a second time.
WhatIfGodWasALeaf
Active member
It'd be somewhat amusing to me if the Leafs won the lottery and then traded down to take someone else.
McGarnagle
New member
Patrick said:
Heh, I wonder if there's more possibilities this year. Between Arizona no doubt badly wanting Matthews, the oilers looking for a franchise D man, and the leafs looking to exploit virtually any situation, the draft order could definitely hold a few scenarios.
McGarnagle
New member
And hey, maybe we're a gas mask bong away from drafting Matthews with the Pens' pick.
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mr grieves
New member
KadriFan said:
I just got:
Edmonton
Vancouver
Boston
Kin
New member
So would anyone else kind of prefer drafting 4th instead of 3rd? I know that doesn't make a ton of sense as you could draft whoever you take at 4 at 3 if you really wanted to but I feel like drafting #3 means we get Pulijarvi who, while obviously a good prospect, seems to kind of not be exciting anyone right now. Pick 4th and there are all sorts of interesting possibilities.
GatineauLeaf
New member
Nik the Trik said:
Or trade our #3 for #4 or 5 or 6 and another pick!
Bullfrog said:
Wouldn't you think he would probably prefer the Leafs to
get #1? A strong Leaf team's revenue would be HUGE
for the NHL.
So that is an irrational thought.
Unlike myself, who understand we have zero, nada, not
in a million years chance of winning this thing and a stone
cold lock-of-the-century result for picking #4. :'(
Zee
Active member
McGarnagle said:
I'd be OK with the Leafs in that position, at least then they have the control of what's going to happen with #1. If Lamariello and Hunter can come to an agreement over what to do, they could score a big haul in deals with that #1 pick. I trust the Leafs front office for once.
Kin
New member
Bullfrog said:
You're right, that doesn't make much sense.
While going 4th or lower does require a bit more creative thinking, I can never justify picking lower.
Well, the difference is looking at it from a "If the Leafs pick 3rd what will they do?" perspective as opposed to a "If I were running the Leafs, what would I do?" perspective. If the Leafs get the 3rd pick I think they'll do the safe, conservative thing and take the consensus #3 pick. If I had the #3 pick, shenanigans would ensue.
mr grieves
New member
Nik the Trik said:
Going for the consensus top Euro forward who they've been talking about for over a year would be pretty anticlimactic... but what I've read about Pulijarvi -- makes him sound like a good fit with what the Leafs have already got.
Then again, power forwards with good shots would be nice to have. As would top defensive prospects. Siblings of your top star. Etc. Many more fun possibilities to imagine #4, yes.
Kin
New member
mr grieves said:
Although he's not the consensus top Euro forward. That's Patrik Laine right now.
I guess, and this is an unfair comparison I know, but to me it kind of reminds me of the 2008 draft. That draft, everyone thought beforehand, had a clear top 5 and then the big drop-off. That's why Fletcher traded into the top five. So it's like, who would you prefer, the guy in tier one that everyone has agreed they like the least? Or the guy in tier two you like the most?