Didn?t realise of the remaining 10 games, Seattle and Texas play each other 7 times. So if one of them sweeps those (and wins their other 3 games against Houston or Anaheim respectively) the most they can win is 94. But that would mean the other could only win 87 max. The Jays need to finish one clear as they don?t have the tie breakers so would need 88 wins to sneak in.
If they split the series 4-3 either way (and sweep their other series), then the most either team can win is 91, with the other getting 90, in which case the Jays need to find 6 wins from their last 10 games.
If Texas overtakes Houston it probably skews that by a game or two, but Houston have to face Seattle and also have an ?easy? series against Kansas.
Long story, I think 5 wins probably gets the Jays in. Unfortunately they face Gerrit Cole probably twice , then Tampa in 6 of the last 10