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2025 Offseason Thread: Spring Cleaning

I have a feeling that won't happen and more over I have a feeling they'll try to sign Marner and run the same basic team next year
If changes aren't made to the core and hopefully Shanahan as well I'm done with this team. I really am shocked by some who want to roll this shit back. It hasn't worked for how many years. What makes any of you think things will change. You build a team to win a cup not the presidents trophy and then can't win. What you see is what you get with these guys. They've had ample time to grow some balls and figure it out but they can't so move on.
 
Marner’s gone, book it. You don’t shut down all in-season negotiations if you’re serious about staying. That’s not a player preparing for the long haul, that’s a guy prepping for the exit ramp. As for Shanahan, he’s toast too. The optics are brutal. Jerseys being tossed on home ice twice in the playoffs? That’s not just frustration, that’s a full-blown revolt. You can’t bring back the same faces after that kind of public meltdown. The fans have spoken and this time, they’re not whispering.
 
Source? That was pure speculation driven by the media, aka Dreger. Anything with the words "I Think" is not a source.

Part of me doesn't even want to bother replying to this because we obviously rely on the reporting of others, who generally cannot just name their actual sources if it isn't official, and if you don't believe it because you're not a fan of someone like Darren Dreger - who didn't write the article by the way - then that's not my problem. The exact dollar figure is speculation, but it is fact that the Leafs tried to extend him, and the extension would have been the most in team history according to this article.
 
Lots of players have shut down contract talks during the season and still re-signed. With that said I don't think this will be one of those times.
Of course that's true, but with the history of Marner with his agent and reading the tea leaves you think things would have to break a certain way for him to come back, and when you're presented with what's been reported as being the richest contract in team history and you don't sign when it's offered there's some information to be gleaned there.
 
Marner’s gone, book it. You don’t shut down all in-season negotiations if you’re serious about staying. That’s not a player preparing for the long haul, that’s a guy prepping for the exit ramp. As for Shanahan, he’s toast too. The optics are brutal. Jerseys being tossed on home ice twice in the playoffs? That’s not just frustration, that’s a full-blown revolt. You can’t bring back the same faces after that kind of public meltdown. The fans have spoken and this time, they’re not whispering.
I was listening to JD Bunkis a few days ago and he's right - there's been an air of "We're smarter than the fans" and "The fans are the problem" being driven by the organization and I think people are fed up with it, especially when we could've gotten some assets back from a Marner or Nylander deal and instead he walks for nothing. Many of us saw this scenario play out.
 
I was listening to JD Bunkis a few days ago and he's right - there's been an air of "We're smarter than the fans" and "The fans are the problem" being driven by the organization and I think people are fed up with it, especially when we could've gotten some assets back from a Marner or Nylander deal and instead he walks for nothing. Many of us saw this scenario play out.
Many of us saw this exact scenario coming. Keith Pelley rolled out the tired “I just got here” excuse last year, like a CEO walking into a company that’s tanked for 9 straight quarters and saying, “Let’s stay the course.” Come on. Any real leader would’ve walked in and lit a fire. The idea that nothing needed to change because he wasn’t around during the dysfunction is ridiculous.
And yeah, I know the rebuttal: “The Leafs are the most profitable team in hockey.” Great. Congrats on selling jerseys. But that's the core disconnect—success has been measured in dollars, not banners. At some point, someone in that front office needs to realize that if you're not chasing Cups, you're just playing dress-up. A total course correction is overdue. Enough with the illusion of progress.
 
Friedman's apparently wondering about the possibility of the Leafs buying some forwards out. I don't really see that. Jarnkrok and Kampf are the obvious two candidates.

Jarnkrok will be entering the last year of his contract. $2.1mil AAV, with a $1.35mil signing bonus due presumably on July 1st. Because of that signing bonus per Puckpedia a buyout would carry a $1,583,333 next season and a $258,333 hit the season after that.

Kampf has 2 years left on his deal. $2.4mil AAV with $1.325mil signing bonuses in both years. That means his buyout would carry a $1,683,333 for 2 years and then $358,333 for 2 years after that.

In both cases their signing bonuses pretty much make their deals buyout-proof. The Leafs would be better off just waiving them as they get more relief burying their contracts in the AHL.

With that said I don't think Jarnkrok would be all that difficult to move. Once his signing bonus is paid his salary for the season will be league minimum. Even with all his limitations I think there's team out there that would take him considering where the cap is. Kampf I dunno. Berube's usage of him post-Laughton (which was odd) might have killed any value he had. But I think he's still a fine defensive 4C, just overpaid is all.
 
There is certainly a valid argument that the core should be broken up. It may be something as simple that the Leafs don’t offer a contract to Marner and lowball Tavares to a very friendly team contract. If he doesn’t agree just let him walk.

Valiquette on Kyler/Bourne was really insightful yesterday IMO. He said that the goals scored were stoppable on Sunday for a variety of reasons and Woll’s overall stats on 2 on 1 breaks were really bad. (c. 62 out of 64 goalies this past season). And Rielly was on the ice for 21 Grade A scoring chances against in the series ( which by a relatively large margin was the worst of any Leaf). Arguably the defence (particularly Rielly and McCabe) made more mistakes than the forwards which certainly was a contributing factor to the loss.

It might be worthwhile to see how the playoffs turn out because the Canes and Freddie certainly didn’t look better than the Leafs overall last night. And really what is the point on trying to make any moves forthwith? Must teams wait until the draft or July 1 typically at any rate.

But Shanny really should not be renewed unequivocally at this upcoming board meeting. What is the point in keeping him?
 
Hypothetical Buyouts:

Reaves - 1.35M cap hit - 26 - 450K, 450K - makes no sense because burying him in the minors has a cap hit <200K
Domi - 3.75M cap hit - 2.75, 2.75, 2.75, 500K, 500K, 500K - 1M in cap savings for the next 3 years
Jarnkrok - 2.1M cap hit - 1.583, 258K. ~500K savings
Kampf - 2.4M cap hit - 1.683M, 1.683M, 358K, 358K - ~700K savings the next two years

Rielly - 7.5M cap hit - 1.633, 3.633, 3.633, 3.633, 3.633, 2.133, 2.133, 2.133, 2.133 - 5.9M saving next year but only 3.9M for the next 4 years after that.

Of the buyouts the only one that gives meaningful cap space is Rielly's buyout but are we getting a better defenseman for 4M. I think even with his warts the Leafs should be able to get something meaningful in return for him in a trade even if it means eating some of his salary which should come with less of a long term bit on the cap while getting something back even if it's only draft/prospect.

Sending Jarnkrok or Kampf to the minors provides a bigger cap relief than buying them out.

I'm not seeing anyone who seems like a good buyout candidate.
 
Many of us saw this exact scenario coming. Keith Pelley rolled out the tired “I just got here” excuse last year, like a CEO walking into a company that’s tanked for 9 straight quarters and saying, “Let’s stay the course.” Come on. Any real leader would’ve walked in and lit a fire. The idea that nothing needed to change because he wasn’t around during the dysfunction is ridiculous.
And yeah, I know the rebuttal: “The Leafs are the most profitable team in hockey.” Great. Congrats on selling jerseys. But that's the core disconnect—success has been measured in dollars, not banners. At some point, someone in that front office needs to realize that if you're not chasing Cups, you're just playing dress-up. A total course correction is overdue. Enough with the illusion of progress.
I watch a lot less and cannot stomach the swag. It has to affect their bottom line. Arn mentioned he's watching less. There has to be lots of us that just don't give a crap about this group anymore. 100 points, 69 goals who gives a crap, playoff wins is all I care about and this rerun sucks.
 
I watch a lot less and cannot stomach the swag. It has to affect their bottom line. Arn mentioned he's watching less. There has to be lots of us that just don't give a crap about this group anymore. 100 points, 69 goals who gives a crap, playoff wins is all I care about and this rerun sucks.
Absolutely. As part of the older crowd, of which I'm firmly a member, I find myself watching fewer and fewer Leafs games each season. Every year, you invest time and hope, thinking this time might be different, only to be let down when it matters most.
I understand it's just sports, and in the grand scheme of life, whether they win or lose doesn't really change anything. But still, it would be nice to cheer for a team that actually rises to the occasion on the biggest stage every once in a while.
After more than 45 years of this, I finally understand why my dad and uncles always seemed so cynical about the Leafs when I was growing up. It’s not bitterness, it's just a kind of exhaustion. A sense that all the hope and energy poured into this team ends up feeling like a grand waste of time.
That said, I’ll still watch, just not with the same level of care or belief I once had.
 
Friedman's apparently wondering about the possibility of the Leafs buying some forwards out. I don't really see that. Jarnkrok and Kampf are the obvious two candidates.

Jarnkrok will be entering the last year of his contract. $2.1mil AAV, with a $1.35mil signing bonus due presumably on July 1st. Because of that signing bonus per Puckpedia a buyout would carry a $1,583,333 next season and a $258,333 hit the season after that.

Kampf has 2 years left on his deal. $2.4mil AAV with $1.325mil signing bonuses in both years. That means his buyout would carry a $1,683,333 for 2 years and then $358,333 for 2 years after that.

In both cases their signing bonuses pretty much make their deals buyout-proof. The Leafs would be better off just waiving them as they get more relief burying their contracts in the AHL.

With that said I don't think Jarnkrok would be all that difficult to move. Once his signing bonus is paid his salary for the season will be league minimum. Even with all his limitations I think there's team out there that would take him considering where the cap is. Kampf I dunno. Berube's usage of him post-Laughton (which was odd) might have killed any value he had. But I think he's still a fine defensive 4C, just overpaid is all.
Great minds...if we really want to move on from Kampf/Jarnkrok as you said, I think they both can be traded, Jarnkrok easier than Kampf. But they also carry smaller cap hits if they are waived to the minors. Normally I'm not a fan of being ruthless but I'd rather see the team make those harsh decisions.

The only guy who looks remotely worth a buyout in terms of meaningfully giving the Leafs room to play with is Rielly and again, he should be a guy who is tradeable. The worst case scenario with Rielly is that you eat some of his salary in retention to cover up for his defensive play. I guess if he refuses to waive his NMC the buyout would be an option of moving on from him though.
 
The only guy who looks remotely worth a buyout in terms of meaningfully giving the Leafs room to play with is Rielly and again, he should be a guy who is tradeable. The worst case scenario with Rielly is that you eat some of his salary in retention to cover up for his defensive play. I guess if he refuses to waive his NMC the buyout would be an option of moving on from him though.
I was trying to find players with a similar contract to Rielly's that could also maybe benefit from a change of scenery. Mika Zibanejad was the only centre who popped up. They're both signed for 5 more years. Zibanejad is 1 year older and has a $8.5mil AAV vs. Rielly's $7.5mil AAV. Rangers have been rumoured to be possibly looking to move him and aren't particularly strong at LD. Zibanejad could also fill some of Marner's roles on the team as he'd consistently been a top unit penalty killer and has also experimented with being a PP QB at times.

Both players have NMCs which could obviously complicate things or shut down them entirely. But an intriguing idea I think.
 
Absolutely. As part of the older crowd, of which I'm firmly a member, I find myself watching fewer and fewer Leafs games each season. Every year, you invest time and hope, thinking this time might be different, only to be let down when it matters most.
I understand it's just sports, and in the grand scheme of life, whether they win or lose doesn't really change anything. But still, it would be nice to cheer for a team that actually rises to the occasion on the biggest stage every once in a while.
After more than 45 years of this, I finally understand why my dad and uncles always seemed so cynical about the Leafs when I was growing up. It’s not bitterness, it's just a kind of exhaustion. A sense that all the hope and energy poured into this team ends up feeling like a grand waste of time.
That said, I’ll still watch, just not with the same level of care or belief I once had.

I feel like I've been through this process twice. I grew up in the NYC area and my dad was a lifelong Ranger fan. I watched him suffer as their Cup drought swelled past 50 years, only to be broken when they imported a bunch of ex-Oilers who knew what it took to win. Of course, they also had a real dman in Brian Leetch and the Leafs have not had someone like that in this era. Anyway, I remember him complaining about Rangers teams being too soft and watching them get dominated by the Flyers and Bruins. It all feels so similar, but it was much easier to watch it happen to another team for sure.

Interesting thing about the Rangers, they are now on a new 30 year Cup drought - hard to believe - which means they have won only once in the past 85 years.

I did slog through almost every Leaf game this year, but unless they re-make the roster significantly that may not be the case next year. I kept telling myself the reward for watching all those boring defensive slugfests would come in the playoffs. Well, it turned out to be just more of the same so maybe I'll just skip ahead to the playoffs next year.

I do remember thinking, back in 2016-17 when this era was starting with such promise and excitement, that this might be the last rebuild I'd go through as a Leaf fan. The clock is ticking.
 

Part of me doesn't even want to bother replying to this because we obviously rely on the reporting of others, who generally cannot just name their actual sources if it isn't official, and if you don't believe it because you're not a fan of someone like Darren Dreger - who didn't write the article by the way - then that's not my problem. The exact dollar figure is speculation, but it is fact that the Leafs tried to extend him, and the extension would have been the most in team history according to this article.
I never said I disliked Dreger or anyone else. I asked for a source that stated he was offered and turned down 13.5x8. There isn't one. Speculation, just like some insider guy saying Marner will be traded 100% last off season, means nothing. Not defending 16 but he said from last summer he is not negotiating during the season, his agent will deal with it. Nothing has changed from him. Nobody knows anything about contract offers and such.. all to get clicks
 
Finally got around to Chris Johnston’s podcast on the Leafs, he says the front office cuts could be deep. Whatever that ends up meaning, it’s hard to imagine Shanahan surviving this. At minimum, he’s gone.

I clipped it for you guys!

 
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Combining my last two admittedly far-fetched ideas: Knies @ $7mil, Tavares @ $6mil, Kane @ $5mil, Toews @ $2mil (performance bonus heavy), Rielly for Zibanejad, move Jarnkrok after his signing bonus is paid out:

Knies-Matthews-Nylander
Tavares-Zibanejad-Domi
McMann-Toews-Kane
Laughton-Kampf-Lorentz

McCabe-Tanev
______-Carlo
Benoit-OEL

Stolarz
Woll

Leaves about $7.8mil to find a top-4 puck moving defenceman and fill out the press box spots. Not really sure where the Rielly replacement comes from though. Stop me if you've heard this before but the UFA market isn't great. Maybe there's a struggling young D we can swap Robertson for and just hope for the best (while also possibly taking on a camp dump for value since we have open space).
 
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