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Coronavirus

Nik said:
Peter D. said:
I just don't see the point of circuit breaker type lockdowns when 80%+ of the province is vaccinated.  Unless you are exhibiting symptoms, I don't feel we have things need to be so restrictive of those who are double vaccinated. 

I mean, the point of them is that 3 million unvaccinated people are still out there, this variant might make vaccines significantly less effective and our health care system is hanging on by a thread.

I appreciate that restrictions are frustrating but nobody is contemplating them for any reason other than the utmost serious ones.

It feels like there is no end in sight, and that there are no other options even being discussed other than lockdowns.  It's been two years, and at every turn, there is a new variant which means we go back to square one and reset every single time.  If this is the way I am going to have to live the rest of my life, then I wish they would stop blowing smoke and just say that this is the new world order.  They rolled out the vaccine and at this point, we are no better off than when this thing started, because the root cause of the issue, the lack of sufficient health care in the event of widespread severe cases of covid, is still present and nothing has been done or can be done to address this.
 
People who are asymptomatic can still spread the virus to people who are more susceptible to the ill effects; volume of infections increases the chance the virus finds another long-term host it can mutate in.
 
Significantly Insignificant said:
It feels like there is no end in sight, and that there are no other options even being discussed other than lockdowns.

I mean, again, I get the frustration but it feels like a lot of options have been discussed. Even today, with just about every public health expert I'm seeing saying massive and immediate steps need to be taken, Ford flat out said he wasn't doing a lockdown and instead took on these half measures.

Beyond that there's been talk of stronger vaccine mandates, making them mandatory like in Austria...all things the province rejected because it seems like they don't want to upset the unvaccinated in an election year.

I appreciate that ignoring things when it's going well and resorting to lockdowns in bad times feels like an all or nothing approach but A) you should take it up with the people who disbanded the vaccine taskforce and B) I really do think it's a result of people being out of options. If you know of a way to accomplish what a lockdown does without a lockdown I think the world would be pretty receptive to it.

Significantly Insignificant said:
It's been two years, and at every turn, there is a new variant which means we go back to square one and reset every single time.

It does? Because to me it feels like this is the first variant after the vaccine that has led to significant measures being taken to deal with it specifically because of its rate of transmission and the reduced efficacy of the vaccines against it. Again, I understand why that sucks but none of the people in Public Health are happy about it either. I think they'd like to go back to 2019 too but pretending that it's not the way it is would be pretty irresponsible. The reality is that this might be a seasonal thing like the flu but, because of the way Covid mutates and its potential severity/transmission rates, the occasional disruption to our day to day lives might happen. I think people who aren't politicians have been pretty upfront about that.
 
Nik said:
I mean, again, I get the frustration but it feels like a lot of options have been discussed. Even today, with just about every public health expert I'm seeing saying massive and immediate steps need to be taken, Ford flat out said he wasn't doing a lockdown and instead took on these half measures.

Beyond that there's been talk of stronger vaccine mandates, making them mandatory like in Austria...all things the province rejected because it seems like they don't want to upset the unvaccinated in an election year.

I appreciate that ignoring things when it's going well and resorting to lockdowns in bad times feels like an all or nothing approach but A) you should take it up with the people who disbanded the vaccine taskforce and B) I really do think it's a result of people being out of options. If you know of a way to accomplish what a lockdown does without a lockdown I think the world would be pretty receptive to it.

When this first started they talked about reconfigurable hospitals where sections of the hospital would serve as a normal area, like pediatrics, or day surgery centers, but then in times of need could be quickly converted to ICU areas. 

I'm not sure what has been discussed as potential other solutions, but creating Covid centers where they specifically treat this one disease that can house the additional people that require ventilators would reduce the burden on hospitals.

Improved testing through an infrared monitor that scans you as you enter and leave buildings so that outbreaks can be identified earlier and individuals can be quarantined before they can spread it to other people.

I get that when this first started the lockdowns were a necessity, but as a society we aren't building towards anything.  It appears from the outside looking in that there is no innovative thought being put towards this.  It's status quo on the approach on how to deal with the spikes in numbers.  In two years, we have no new solutions.  The vaccine was supposed to be our way out, but it hasn't worked out that way, partly because of anti-vaxers and partly because the virus decided to find a way through it, and so long term I don't see the vaccine as a solution.  So because the vaccine was supposed to be the solution, and it isn't, then it's back to the drawing board.  Would have been nice if there was a plan B to the vaccines that maybe wasn't just a lockdown approach.

Nik said:
It does? Because to me it feels like this is the first variant after the vaccine that has led to significant measures being taken to deal with it specifically because of its rate of transmission and the reduced efficacy of the vaccines against it. Again, I understand why that sucks but none of the people in Public Health are happy about it either. I think they'd like to go back to 2019 too but pretending that it's not the way it is would be pretty irresponsible. The reality is that this might be a seasonal thing like the flu but, because of the way Covid mutates and its potential severity/transmission rates, the occasional disruption to our day to day lives might happen. I think people who aren't politicians have been pretty upfront about that.

It's the first time since a majority of the population was vaccinated, but I think this is the third or fourth lockdown since this thing started.  The vaccine is not as effective against the new variant, and the new variant transmits quicker, that seems to be the consensus, but some are saying that this variant is less deadly than previous versions of Covid, but other data says that delta was two times as deadly as the first version of Covid, and omicron is half as deadly as delta, so it's really just as deadly as the first version of Covid. 

As an aside, this isn't an occasional disruption to peoples lives.  Some people, like myself, sure, it's an inconvenience, but  I've known people who have lost their house.  That's not a disruption, that is life altering, and yes it is less life altering than losing their life.  They did what they were supposed to do however, they got vaccinated, they followed the rules, and now a family of five still had to uproot their life and move to a different province just to put a small roof over their head because they were part of the workforce that couldn't go back to work reliably, and the government support wasn't enough for them.
 
Significantly Insignificant said:
When this first started they talked about reconfigurable hospitals where sections of the hospital would serve as a normal area, like pediatrics, or day surgery centers, but then in times of need could be quickly converted to ICU areas. 

I'm not sure what has been discussed as potential other solutions, but creating Covid centers where they specifically treat this one disease that can house the additional people that require ventilators would reduce the burden on hospitals.

Sure but then you run into the more tangible problems like staffing for a huge upswing in COVID cases which you can't just make happen even with a large amount of cash, to say nothing of the already burned out health care staff who've been doing this for two years straight.

But that said, I'm not going to sit here and say that our Province has done everything they need to or everything they can to make our responses more akin to some of the better ones in the world. I'm sure the public health people would love it if our government's response would have been massive investment in health care infrastructure and technology similar to how China and South Korea have handled things but ultimately that's not their call.

Significantly Insignificant said:
I get that when this first started the lockdowns were a necessity, but as a society we aren't building towards anything.  It appears from the outside looking in that there is no innovative thought being put towards this.  It's status quo on the approach on how to deal with the spikes in numbers.  In two years, we have no new solutions.  The vaccine was supposed to be our way out, but it hasn't worked out that way, partly because of anti-vaxers and partly because the virus decided to find a way through it, and so long term I don't see the vaccine as a solution.  So because the vaccine was supposed to be the solution, and it isn't, then it's back to the drawing board.  Would have been nice if there was a plan B to the vaccines that maybe wasn't just a lockdown approach.

Sure. Again, I get the frustration with how this has been handled but I think ever thinking that any one vaccine was going to be the singular solution here was probably never super realistic. Or, if it was, it wasn't just going to be about developing a vaccine and then getting a pretty good number of our own citizens vaccinated. It was always going to be the vaccine plus getting nearly everyone vaccinated here and abroad. Otherwise we're going to be susceptible to these mutated variants and continued disruptions.

Significantly Insignificant said:
It's the first time since a majority of the population was vaccinated, but I think this is the third or fourth lockdown since this thing started.  The vaccine is not as effective against the new variant, and the new variant transmits quicker, that seems to be the consensus, but some are saying that this variant is less deadly than previous versions of Covid, but other data says that delta was two times as deadly as the first version of Covid, and omicron is half as deadly as delta, so it's really just as deadly as the first version of Covid. 

From what I'm reading it's probably too soon to tell the specifics of omicron with regards to how much we're seeing reduced vaccine effectiveness and it's relative severity but we do know about the rate of its spread and how, just because of understanding math, we know that a much higher transmission rate but the same or even slightly reduced severity is probably much more dangerous than a similar transmission rate but increased severity.

And, again, we're not in lockdown yet. Ford said he's not going to go with a lockdown and that vaccinations are the answer. But realistically we know that 20% or so of the population is incredibly resistant to getting the vaccination and we know what our realistic capabilities are in terms of getting a booster shot into everyone's arm and we can put that against the exponential growth of cases and make reasonable guesses about what we might have to do as the least bad option. The question is will Ford's government do what they always do and ignore the warnings of experts until it's too late and then enact these measures after they're needed or if we're proactive for once in this whole stupid pandemic.


Significantly Insignificant said:
As an aside, this isn't an occasional disruption to peoples lives.  Some people, like myself, sure, it's an inconvenience, but  I've known people who have lost their house.  That's not a disruption, that is life altering, and yes it is less life altering than losing their life.  They did what they were supposed to do however, they got vaccinated, they followed the rules, and now a family of five still had to uproot their life and move to a different province just to put a small roof over their head because they were part of the workforce that couldn't go back to work reliably, and the government support wasn't enough for them.

Yeah, ok and again I'm not sitting here saying that everything the Government has done in response has been enough or well thought out. Far from it. All I'm saying is I'm looking at the numbers being tossed around and I know things about the state of our health care system and I can see that as much as absolutely none of us want more disruption in our lives, it does kind of seem like that's the hand we've been dealt. I get it. I want to have a normal holiday season. I don't want to worry about slipping and breaking my leg and not being able to go to an Emergency room because of Covid. None of us have a monopoly on being exhausted and dispirited by the fact that we're living through the worst pandemic in 100 years but that doesn't mitigate our responsibility to keep making the best decisions we can based on the evidence we have.
 
Well, 2400 new cases in Ontario today.  Science advisory table is suggesting models show 10000 per day by Christmas!!!

I fear there's another lockdown coming.

https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/ontario-needs-immediate-circuit-breaker-to-blunt-spread-of-omicron-modelling-suggests-1.5709712

 
Frank E said:
Well, 2400 new cases in Ontario today.  Science advisory table is suggesting models show 10000 per day by Christmas!!!

I fear there's another lockdown coming.

https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/ontario-needs-immediate-circuit-breaker-to-blunt-spread-of-omicron-modelling-suggests-1.5709712
The only numbers that really matter are hospitalizations/icu. If there isn't a strain there, they won't lock it down.
 
Frank E said:
Well, 2400 new cases in Ontario today.  Science advisory table is suggesting models show 10000 per day by Christmas!!!

I fear there's another lockdown coming.

https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/ontario-needs-immediate-circuit-breaker-to-blunt-spread-of-omicron-modelling-suggests-1.5709712

So far, hospitalizations don't seem to be rising at quite the same rate (yet), which might help us stave off full-scale province-wide lockdowns. Targeted lockdowns where transmission rates are high do seem likely, though.
 
bustaheims said:
Frank E said:
Well, 2400 new cases in Ontario today.  Science advisory table is suggesting models show 10000 per day by Christmas!!!

I fear there's another lockdown coming.

https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/ontario-needs-immediate-circuit-breaker-to-blunt-spread-of-omicron-modelling-suggests-1.5709712

So far, hospitalizations don't seem to be rising at quite the same rate (yet), which might help us stave off full-scale province-wide lockdowns. Targeted lockdowns where transmission rates are high do seem likely, though.

Small sample size and all. I went from not admitting a COVID patient to hospital in the last 3 weeks to admitting 3 in the last 3 days.
 
Exponential infection rates will catch up with hospitals faster than they can adjust. Consider how burnt out we are with the pandemic lifestyle; HCW are feeling all of that from outside of work, with all the additional burdens and traumas and frustrations of working the front lines largely for folks who are either flouting health directives or were affected by someone in the former group.

We need to be proactive. Ontario playing stay-at-home defense with pucks off the glass and shot-blocks is how we get an overwhelming Corsi-against quickly devolving into goals against simply from sheer volume.
 
L K said:
Small sample size and all. I went from not admitting a COVID patient to hospital in the last 3 weeks to admitting 3 in the last 3 days.

Hopefully, that turns out to be an anomaly - but, it could definitely be an indication. I guess the next week or so will be quite telling.
 
L K said:
bustaheims said:
Frank E said:
Well, 2400 new cases in Ontario today.  Science advisory table is suggesting models show 10000 per day by Christmas!!!

I fear there's another lockdown coming.

https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/ontario-needs-immediate-circuit-breaker-to-blunt-spread-of-omicron-modelling-suggests-1.5709712

So far, hospitalizations don't seem to be rising at quite the same rate (yet), which might help us stave off full-scale province-wide lockdowns. Targeted lockdowns where transmission rates are high do seem likely, though.

Small sample size and all. I went from not admitting a COVID patient to hospital in the last 3 weeks to admitting 3 in the last 3 days.

Were all three unvaccinated?
 
Nik said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
When this first started they talked about reconfigurable hospitals where sections of the hospital would serve as a normal area, like pediatrics, or day surgery centers, but then in times of need could be quickly converted to ICU areas. 

I'm not sure what has been discussed as potential other solutions, but creating Covid centers where they specifically treat this one disease that can house the additional people that require ventilators would reduce the burden on hospitals.

Sure but then you run into the more tangible problems like staffing for a huge upswing in COVID cases which you can't just make happen even with a large amount of cash, to say nothing of the already burned out health care staff who've been doing this for two years straight.

But that said, I'm not going to sit here and say that our Province has done everything they need to or everything they can to make our responses more akin to some of the better ones in the world. I'm sure the public health people would love it if our government's response would have been massive investment in health care infrastructure and technology similar to how China and South Korea have handled things but ultimately that's not their call.

Significantly Insignificant said:
I get that when this first started the lockdowns were a necessity, but as a society we aren't building towards anything.  It appears from the outside looking in that there is no innovative thought being put towards this.  It's status quo on the approach on how to deal with the spikes in numbers.  In two years, we have no new solutions.  The vaccine was supposed to be our way out, but it hasn't worked out that way, partly because of anti-vaxers and partly because the virus decided to find a way through it, and so long term I don't see the vaccine as a solution.  So because the vaccine was supposed to be the solution, and it isn't, then it's back to the drawing board.  Would have been nice if there was a plan B to the vaccines that maybe wasn't just a lockdown approach.

Sure. Again, I get the frustration with how this has been handled but I think ever thinking that any one vaccine was going to be the singular solution here was probably never super realistic. Or, if it was, it wasn't just going to be about developing a vaccine and then getting a pretty good number of our own citizens vaccinated. It was always going to be the vaccine plus getting nearly everyone vaccinated here and abroad. Otherwise we're going to be susceptible to these mutated variants and continued disruptions.

Significantly Insignificant said:
It's the first time since a majority of the population was vaccinated, but I think this is the third or fourth lockdown since this thing started.  The vaccine is not as effective against the new variant, and the new variant transmits quicker, that seems to be the consensus, but some are saying that this variant is less deadly than previous versions of Covid, but other data says that delta was two times as deadly as the first version of Covid, and omicron is half as deadly as delta, so it's really just as deadly as the first version of Covid. 

From what I'm reading it's probably too soon to tell the specifics of omicron with regards to how much we're seeing reduced vaccine effectiveness and it's relative severity but we do know about the rate of its spread and how, just because of understanding math, we know that a much higher transmission rate but the same or even slightly reduced severity is probably much more dangerous than a similar transmission rate but increased severity.

And, again, we're not in lockdown yet. Ford said he's not going to go with a lockdown and that vaccinations are the answer. But realistically we know that 20% or so of the population is incredibly resistant to getting the vaccination and we know what our realistic capabilities are in terms of getting a booster shot into everyone's arm and we can put that against the exponential growth of cases and make reasonable guesses about what we might have to do as the least bad option. The question is will Ford's government do what they always do and ignore the warnings of experts until it's too late and then enact these measures after they're needed or if we're proactive for once in this whole stupid pandemic.


Significantly Insignificant said:
As an aside, this isn't an occasional disruption to peoples lives.  Some people, like myself, sure, it's an inconvenience, but  I've known people who have lost their house.  That's not a disruption, that is life altering, and yes it is less life altering than losing their life.  They did what they were supposed to do however, they got vaccinated, they followed the rules, and now a family of five still had to uproot their life and move to a different province just to put a small roof over their head because they were part of the workforce that couldn't go back to work reliably, and the government support wasn't enough for them.

Yeah, ok and again I'm not sitting here saying that everything the Government has done in response has been enough or well thought out. Far from it. All I'm saying is I'm looking at the numbers being tossed around and I know things about the state of our health care system and I can see that as much as absolutely none of us want more disruption in our lives, it does kind of seem like that's the hand we've been dealt. I get it. I want to have a normal holiday season. I don't want to worry about slipping and breaking my leg and not being able to go to an Emergency room because of Covid. None of us have a monopoly on being exhausted and dispirited by the fact that we're living through the worst pandemic in 100 years but that doesn't mitigate our responsibility to keep making the best decisions we can based on the evidence we have.

Just to be clear, I'm not against the lockdowns in the sense that I don't think they are important in controlling the spread.  My frustration is just that it feels that if the return to normal is through the vaccine, and the vaccine isn't effective, then the last two years have been wasted because a backup plan hasn't been worked on or thought out.  If we go into a lockdown, I'll continue to follow the rules that are outlined.

However, I should have held on to my rant for a day, because the Pfizer pills that they are making appear to be 93% effective in preventing hospitalizations against all variants, so maybe they can still tackle this thing with a vaccine or medical treatment.  So that's some good news.

I'm pretty sure we are locking down at some point soon.  The teachers are sending stuff home from school, and the rumours going around are they are not going to be going back till February 7th.  My kids have come home with quick tests, and I need to test them every day before sending them to school.
 
Significantly Insignificant said:
Just to be clear, I'm not against the lockdowns in the sense that I don't think they are important in controlling the spread.  My frustration is just that it feels that if the return to normal is through the vaccine, and the vaccine isn't effective, then the last two years have been wasted because a backup plan hasn't been worked on or thought out.  If we go into a lockdown, I'll continue to follow the rules that are outlined.

Yeah, this is where I'm at similarly.  Want us to get vaccinated to get some of normalcy back.  Okay, done.  Now even the vaccinated will likely have to hunker down and miss out on things to try and slow this thing down, which I'm not the least bit convinced will happen.  And I don't even blame the provincial government for this.  Again, I think the blame lies with the federal government with the amount of travel in and out of the country. 

Like a circuit breaker is going to stop things now.  Not to mention a circuit breaker isn't going to convince the unvaccinated to run out and get the vaccine.  It's only going to give them further fuel to double down on remaining unvaccinated.

This whole thing has become loony.
 
Significantly Insignificant said:
Just to be clear, I'm not against the lockdowns in the sense that I don't think they are important in controlling the spread.  My frustration is just that it feels that if the return to normal is through the vaccine, and the vaccine isn't effective, then the last two years have been wasted because a backup plan hasn't been worked on or thought out.  If we go into a lockdown, I'll continue to follow the rules that are outlined.

I'm still not really following. By most accounts the vaccine was effective at what it was asked to do which was protect people from the virus it was designed for. Expecting it to last forever and be as effective against any possible variants was not particularly realistic. Saying that there should have been "a plan" for a new variant that reduced the vaccine's effectiveness means what effectively? Whose plan? What should the plan have been? As you point out, there were efforts at looking into treatments as well as vaccinations so I'm not entirely sure who you think has been negligent here.

And likewise, the last two years weren't "wasted" because it's not like we were accumulating good will by locking down, we were mitigating stress on the health care system. If we hadn't had those lockdowns it's basically a certainty that we would have seen much, much higher amounts of sickness and death. Likewise, any future lockdown won't be about solving the problem forever and ever but minimizing damage.

Again, I get being frustrated but the chance that there may not be a simple and easy end to this pandemic is pretty real and is probably something to account for. There are a lot of unvaccinated people, there doesn't seem to be the political will in the province to do something about that and that has left us where we are. We might not get to go back to the old normal for sometime and as frustrating as that is, just being frustrated in and of itself doesn't mean that there ever was an option to make that happen outside of some pretty extreme measures.
 
Heroic Shrimp said:
https://twitter.com/scottgottliebmd/status/1471670787853725706

I think we need to be careful looking at SOuth Africa and thinking the same will necessarily happen in Canada (or in my case the UK/Ireland) as South Africa is in its summer and obviously we know respiratory illnesses impact different depending on seasons
 
Nik said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
Just to be clear, I'm not against the lockdowns in the sense that I don't think they are important in controlling the spread.  My frustration is just that it feels that if the return to normal is through the vaccine, and the vaccine isn't effective, then the last two years have been wasted because a backup plan hasn't been worked on or thought out.  If we go into a lockdown, I'll continue to follow the rules that are outlined.

I'm still not really following. By most accounts the vaccine was effective at what it was asked to do which was protect people from the virus it was designed for. Expecting it to last forever and be as effective against any possible variants was not particularly realistic. Saying that there should have been "a plan" for a new variant that reduced the vaccine's effectiveness means what effectively? Whose plan? What should the plan have been? As you point out, there were efforts at looking into treatments as well as vaccinations so I'm not entirely sure who you think has been negligent here.

And likewise, the last two years weren't "wasted" because it's not like we were accumulating good will by locking down, we were mitigating stress on the health care system. If we hadn't had those lockdowns it's basically a certainty that we would have seen much, much higher amounts of sickness and death. Likewise, any future lockdown won't be about solving the problem forever and ever but minimizing damage.

Again, I get being frustrated but the chance that there may not be a simple and easy end to this pandemic is pretty real and is probably something to account for. There are a lot of unvaccinated people, there doesn't seem to be the political will in the province to do something about that and that has left us where we are. We might not get to go back to the old normal for sometime and as frustrating as that is, just being frustrated in and of itself doesn't mean that there ever was an option to make that happen outside of some pretty extreme measures.

Okay, maybe I'm not explaining myself well, which happens as sometimes I can't articulate what is in my head.  Let me share three stories that I have bouncing around in my noggin that are kinda driving my thoughts on this.

Story 1
If you read my post in this forum from a couple of weeks ago, you know that my family went through the contact tracing process for two of my kids.  I have three kids.  Two are fully vaccinated, and one got his first shot two weeks ago.

The weekend where we started to get the contact notifications, my middle son was supposed to have two hockey games.  My parents were going to come down to watch him play his Sunday game.  On Saturday, we got notice an hour before his game that his game on Saturday was canceled, and his game on Sunday may be canceled.  This is because the prior week, 7 days ago, he played against someone who had Covid.  The key point here is that it has been 7 days and this is the first we are hearing about it.   

While that is going on, we are already dealing with contact information for my youngest son.  On the Thursday before that weekend, we received an email that there was an outbreak in his school and that we would be notified in 24 hours if he was a primary contact.

So I phone my parents on Saturday and tell them the situation. My dad says that even if the game is canceled, they'll come down and we'll go out for dinner.  I ask if he is sure about that, and we go over the information that we have provided, and at this point, because we have not gotten a call from my youngest sons school, and because the information from my middle kids' hockey team says we don't have to self isolate that we should be fine to go out for dinner.

My parents come down the next day, and we went out to dinner.  While at dinner, we got a call from OPH for my youngest son.  He was a primary contact and we had to get him tested.  This occurred 48 hours after the timeline they gave us for notifying us.

Two days later after that, so on Tuesday, we got a call from OPH for my middle kid, notifying us that he had to be tested because of his hockey contact.  This is now 11 days after the initial contact we are being notified that we have to be tested. 

When we asked why it had taken so long to notify us the response was "Sorry we are just slammed right now with notifications."

Story 2
Last September, my wife wanted to get my two oldest boy's passports renewed.  I know what you are thinking,  Why?  That is a great question, but for those of you who are married, and have been quarantining here and there with that person you are married too, you eventually come to this point where you know you don't ask questions like that and you just roll with it.

Anyways, we filled out the information and we go to the Service Ontario office.  When we get there the line is enormous.  There is no way we are going to make it through the line that day in time.  The security guard comes over to us and asks why we are there, and we say to renew our passports.  He says to go around the corner and talk to the security guard there.  We go around the corner and the security guard says "Are you just getting passports done"  We say yes and he takes our name.  We get called into an office a little while later and we start going through the paperwork for my two sons.  The guy doing the paperwork makes a mistake and apologizes saying that he doesn't usually deal with these forms.  I ask what he normally does and he says that he normally works at the DMV but he has been pulled over to handle passports when needed.

Story 3
Back in March of 2020, My wife and I both think that we actually got Covid.  It was the sickest that we have been in a while, and I had the brain fog for like two months after recovering.  We don't know for sure though because we never got tested.  When we got sick we phone Telehealth, which is what you were supposed to do at the time.  They would assess you and tell you if you had to be tested.  I phoned, and they said to leave a message, so I did.  They phone back two days later at 2:00 AM.  The nurse apologized profusely for phoning so late but explained that they were working around the clock and this was when my callback time had come up.  We talked through the process, and at that point, she told me that we didn't need to be tested because we felt better and if we had no symptoms then it was okay to return to normal activity.  At the time I didn't know about the brain fog, because it was just the weird thing that I couldn't put my finger on, so I didn't really bring it up.  That's probably on me.     

I guess my frustration is with whoever is overseeing this process of fighting Covid.  The same problems that were there two years ago are still there.  The system can become bogged down and they have not been successful in improving the system to where it doesn't become bogged down.  It is not a well-oiled machine, and after two years, you would think that they would have improved upon it. 

If they need people to make phone calls to notify people, why not use the DMV people?  If they can do passports, why can't they call to notify people they need to be tested?  You don't need a medical background to tell someone to go get tested.  You just need to know who to call and what to say.  Could we go into every medical program that is being run in every post-secondary school in Ontario and just say "Guess what you are all in a co-op program now and you are going to the front lines"?  Have they already done that?  I don't know.  What about retired medical professionals.  My mom is a retired nurse.  What about contacting her to see if she can help out in some way shape or form?  It's not like she's doing much of anything else.  Could she not call people?

This is just one area where the inefficiency is biting us.  Because my family went to that restaurant thinking we were in the clear.  What if we hadn't been?  We have now potentially passed it on to the restaurant and my parents who live in another city.  We followed the instructions given to us.  If they had said "Don't go anywhere, stay at home, see no one" we would have.  But the messaging was "If you don't get this message by such and such a time, you are fine", so we made a decision based on that information.   

You brought up Japan, and that is a really interesting case.  They have the best testing and tracing system right now in the world, and part of the reason they have that is that they legally couldn't do lockdowns at the start, so they had to come up with some other way.  So they can selectively shut down areas proactively because they are able to trace where the virus is expanding in their country.  With the technology, resources, and education that Canada has, why can't we do that? 

When China first went into lockdown mode, the WHO was leery of it.  They called it "new to science" and they were worried about the long-term ramifications of using it as a control method.  They thought that there might be a better way, but other countries started adopting it as the only way to control the spread.  What if you can predict where the virus is going to go through testing and tracing, and you can get in front of it and notify the people that need to lockdown selectively so that you can prevent a province-wide lockdown?  Should we not be trying to get to that point?

It's frustrating to me because it seems that lockdowns have become the crutch that is used because we lack the desire to look at other areas to control the spread of Covid.  I think that Canada should be able to do better.  I think that the powers that be that are making the decisions using lockdowns in case of widespread outbreaks are content with making that decision because they believe that the vaccine will be the thing that eventually removes the need for lockdowns.  What if it isn't?  If in 5 years, we still have a province-wide lockdown every couple of months, should we not be looking for a potentially different solution?  If people say yes, in 5 years, we should have a better system in place, then I say, well my timeline is just shorter than that.  It shouldn't take 5 years to explore a better system than province-wide lockdowns.

Or maybe I am just entering the Don Cherry angry old-man phase of my life and I am screaming at the Leafs to "JUST FIX YOUR PENALTY KILL" and yelling at the moon because my soup is cold.

If you would kindly get off my lawn, and inform me of where I get those pants that go up to my nipples, we can all get on with our isolated days. 
 
Significantly Insignificant said:
I guess my frustration is with whoever is overseeing this process of fighting Covid.  The same problems that were there two years ago are still there.  The system can become bogged down and they have not been successful in improving the system to where it doesn't become bogged down.  It is not a well-oiled machine, and after two years, you would think that they would have improved upon it. 

Well, ok but again I think we need to be clear about who we mean when we say "they". Like, it's just an unfortunate fact of the Canadian constitution that dealing with Covid can't be centralized under a federal umbrella with one uniform national approach the way they can in places like Japan or Korea. It's not a system designed for nimble responses to specific problems.

Trust me, I'm not here to convince you that Ford has done well or you shouldn't be frustrated by how they constantly seem to be a step behind on everything. But, and I don't want to get overtly political here too much, there's also a part of me that looks at what you're saying and thinks, you know, why in the world would you expect the current Ontario Government to be really good at governing on this one specific issue when they have a track record of being pretty terrible at everything and preferring a hands-off "hey, maybe the market will sort things out" approach to just about every single challenge we face? Believe you me, I wish people voted on the basis of "Will this group be good at running the incredible complex and challenging branches of government they're entrusted with?" but unfortunately the people of this province decided to go with Rob Ford's less competent brother. Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos. 

Significantly Insignificant said:
It's frustrating to me because it seems that lockdowns have become the crutch that is used because we lack the desire to look at other areas to control the spread of Covid.  I think that Canada should be able to do better.  I think that the powers that be that are making the decisions using lockdowns in case of widespread outbreaks are content with making that decision because they believe that the vaccine will be the thing that eventually removes the need for lockdowns.  What if it isn't?  If in 5 years, we still have a province-wide lockdown every couple of months, should we not be looking for a potentially different solution?  If people say yes, in 5 years, we should have a better system in place, then I say, well my timeline is just shorter than that.  It shouldn't take 5 years to explore a better system than province-wide lockdowns.

Right and I think what I'm trying to say is that I think you're confusing the grim realities we're facing with a choice being made by some vague "powers that be". As much as I think the current government deserves a great deal of criticism for what's gone on with their Covid response I still don't think anyone wants lockdowns. I think almost uniformly they're being used as a last resort when we're faced with challenges that, absent resorting to the drastic measure of a lockdown, would deal devastating damage to society. Because of that, I absolutely think other solutions are being explored and every possible alternative being tested because, again, nobody wants lockdowns. There's no "lack of desire" for something better. There just isn't one right now. Even you, you have to admit, are making some pretty vague criticisms along the lines of "what if X was possible?"

Where I think you're somewhat mistakenly focused, however, is this idea that anyone thinks there's going to be any one solution that ends the need for lockdowns definitively and forever.  We all want that to be the case but we all have to deal with the reality that it might not happen, no matter what alternatives are explored. The lack of a better option does not make our least-bad option any better or worse, just the same that it's always been.

I mean, look at your hypothetical. What if there were a way to track and trace where the virus was going and get on top of who needed to isolate and why...ok, then what? Because it seems to me that we've spent the last two years in a society that has proven that there's a large contingent of that society that absolutely will not do what they should do as it relates to Covid no matter how dire. So do we enforce that isolation? With the police and arrests? And what happens if we then face a mutation that makes that more difficult?

You ask "should we have a better system in place in 5 years" and I really think you need to realize that wanting there to be a better solution doesn't make one appear. We all want there to be a better solution and not 5 years from now but right now but that want doesn't get us there. It doesn't change the science. It doesn't triple hospital capacity or make people more responsible. Trust me, the second Covid was a problem alternatives were explored and exhausted and the reason people came to lockouts was not the lack of desire for freedom or that they're more patient with pandemic than you are, it's just the stark realities of what is and isn't possible being accepted.
 
https://mobile.twitter.com/ClayTravis/status/1471635387550519298?s=20

Who feels like a good old fashioned clean exchange of ideas?
 

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