Mostar said:
OK. All things being equal, then yes. You mentioned some factors that could sway the outcomes. As a side note, I thought RC was a pretty good coach with a pretty bad team, and he was all to painfully aware of that, even when they won.
I'd have to disagree about Carlyle. I think he provided some really bad coaching for the Leafs. He attempted to get them to play systems that didn't work, were outdated and were ill-suited for the roster. It didn't help that they were a bad team, but he made them look a lot worse than they were. I don't think their record suffered, but the calibre of their play and the perception of a number of the players on the roster certainly did.
Mostar said:
For the sake of discussion, if coaching was equal, are the Leafs better or worse without Kessel? Would they have quit without him? Did he have enough negative impact in the dressing room to foster last years team performance? Does his poor +\- tarnish his point total?
Well, right off the bat, a lot of what you're asking about are thing we fundamentally cannot know. We have absolutely no idea what Kessel was like in the dressing room - though, most of his teammates appeared to like him, so it feels unlikely he was a negative influence. I'd also say a significant portion of the team quit long before Kessel did. While it's true he was having trouble producing, his effort level didn't sag the way many others did. He was still trying out there until it was clear there was no hope. As for his +/- . . . well, if you're going to use a pretty awful stat to make any kind of argument, you're going to end up with a pretty awful argument. From an objective standpoint, the team is definitely worse without Kessel. How many teams would be made better by taking away their top scorer and most talented player? I don't think it would be true of any in the short-term.
Mostar said:
My opinion is that there was something not clicking with that team mentally. I can't say for sure, but there was a lot of talk about culture change, getting rid of a lazy mentality, and the next week he was gone for a bag o' pucks.
I might put some stock into that if it wasn't painfully clear in February that Kessel was going to be traded this summer. The timing of the comments was largely coincidental, and more likely directed at a number of the players the team knew they were unlikely to be able or didn't want move this summer. It was telling them to shape up or
Mostar said:
While I think the Leafs will not win, I don't think they will do any worse. I'm a believer that in sports attitude means a lot. We've all seen a team win because they wanted it more.
We've walked away from things believing that the team that wanted it more won, but the reality is that, in situations like that, it's really the team that had the bounces play in their favour that won. Attitude can play into things, but the impact is significantly lower than we as fans often believe it to be. "Wanting it more" usually breaks down to thinks like how much energy players had left - both physical and mental. I mean, we're talking about professional athletes going head to head. Outside of rare cases, both teams want it just as much, it's just that only one team can win. One bounce in their favour, one slightly more rested player, and suddenly, they wanted it more.