Chris said:
In the calendar year (2019) the Leafs have played at a pace that wouldn't make the playoffs. Changed out a bunch of players and getting the same results, overall team play doesn't look any better. Getting back their 3 roster players will help, but there will probably be other injuries at some point and they'll just have to figure out how to get past them.
I try to keep in mind that St Louis had a horrible first half of last year and of course won the Cup, so trying to not get too worried. But I'm not seeing much evidence of the expected year-to-year improvement one would expect from the young core. That is concerning.
Nylander is playing *much* better this year and Matthews started the season off on fire. Marner has had a slow start but I think the whole contract thing affected him. It seems so common in pro sports that the athlete gets the big contract and then goes into a slump. Not entirely sure why.
As for the rest of the young guys I haven't been following them closely enough to comment. I personally didn't quite understand sending Sandin down when he clearly earned a spot on the team. He looked great to me. The big issue with the team could be their complete lack of salary cap flexibility which ties the hands of management in terms of getting the best team they can on the ice every day. It has also affected the whole backup goalie thing which is a complete mess.
Dubas may have to trade Ceci and an asset/prospect/pick to fix that problem. I have mixed feelings on that, though.
I think the real error in Dubas' judgement has been making a run at it twice in a row the past two years when he could have gotten a king's ransom for expiring contract players at both trade deadlines (JVR 2 years ago and Gardiner last season). It would have given the team so much more ammunition to make a run at things now and for the next several years.
Now things are looking a bit murky. Apparently next season the Leafs will have a fair bit more cap space just due to how the current contracts all work out. We shall see. This season just may not be the year. It could still pan out if Dubas is able to be shrewd about it. I just don't trust his judgement in terms of whether we should be buyers or sellers at the trade deadline. I could see him making a run at things this year which could turn out to be foolish yet again. And if he makes a run at it this year, the cupboard will be pretty bare going forward in terms of our picks and prospects that are expendable.