McDavid's next contract

[jdh1]

I have a feeling if everyone of the big three wants big bucks.  They will have to part with one,my feeling is might be Nylander.  They might have to keep more of the Conner Brown types,  plus the defence needs spending.

 

[Zee]

Leafs management should bring the big three together in a room, say "Here's $25 million...figure how to split it amongst yourselves."

It'll probably be more like $30M for all 3.

Uh, I'm thinking more like 22M.

We'll see what Nylander comes in at.  If he signs 6x6 then Marner should be about the same so 22 will cover all 3.

 

[disco]

Great problems to have. Remember when we were scratching and clawing and shipping out high picks to get one guy who may be good. Now we have three home-grown talents on the verge of elite that'll eventually need to be paid. If management is convinced of the character of the player I'm sure everyone will get the max 8 years, which helps with the AAV. Players love security.

We're seeing the key to this league now is keeping that system built up and flowing with prospects. After that core gets paid there's not much left to go around, so having fresh young talents constantly coming up and contributing on entry level contracts will keep a team in the race for Stanley's Cup. Obviously, see Chicago.

 

[Peter D.]

Leafs management should bring the big three together in a room, say "Here's $25 million...figure how to split it amongst yourselves."

It'll probably be more like $30M for all 3.

Uh, I'm thinking more like 22M.

My thought was 10/11 for Matthews, and 7-8 for Marner and Nylander.

22 would be pretty impressive.

 

[Nik]

If management is convinced of the character of the player I'm sure everyone will get the max 8 years, which helps with the AAV. Players love security.

That's probably not the case here(if you need an example, consider McDavid's contract). Signing guys to 8 year second deals means buying a fair number of UFA years.

 

[herman]

Leafs management should bring the big three together in a room, say "Here's $25 million...figure how to split it amongst yourselves."

It'll probably be more like $30M for all 3.

Uh, I'm thinking more like 22M.

My thought was 10/11 for Matthews, and 7-8 for Marner and Nylander.

22 would be pretty impressive.

I'm thinking 10/6/6.

I don't know how much weight it has on proceedings, but Kadri at 4.5M might drag things down for Marner/Nylander as he's a centre in a defense-first role and putting up the same points (they'll exceed him next year as he regresses). Comparable forwards coming off ELCs are Hall, Eberle, Seguin, JvR, Tavares, Ryan, Drouin... are all in the 5-6 year 4.5-6ish M range. Some of them have higher draft pedigrees (as if it actually means anything).

 

[Nik]

I'm thinking 10/6/6.

I don't know how much weight it has on proceedings, but Kadri at 4.5M might drag things down for Marner/Nylander as he's a centre in a defense-first role and putting up the same points (they'll exceed him next year as he regresses). Comparable forwards coming off ELCs are Hall, Eberle, Seguin, JvR, Tavares, Ryan, Drouin... are all in the 5-6 year 4.5-6ish M range. Some of them have higher draft pedigrees (as if it actually means anything).

It's definitely not going to mean as much as trying to upscale these deals to be comparable %'s of the cap as those deals were and the fact that very few of those guys had rookie years comparable to what Marner and Nylander did. If Marner and Nylander stall out and are still 60 point guys then you might have an argument at those numbers but if they're 70 or 75 point players they're not going to get the same money as Jonathan Drouin.

 

[herman]

It's definitely not going to mean as much as trying to upscale these deals to be comparable %'s of the cap as those deals were and the fact that very few of those guys had rookie years comparable to what Marner and Nylander did. If Marner and Nylander stall out and are still 60 point guys then you might have an argument at those numbers but if they're 70 or 75 point players they're not going to get the same money as Jonathan Drouin.

Good point about cap %-age.

It'll be very interesting to see where those two pan out relative to current top-end forwards, especially with increased workloads and less sheltering.

 

[lamajama]

I think this will be a huge problem for the Leafs. If, and likely, Matthews gets $11-$12m then Willie and Marner will be looking for $8. That's too much unless Cap is sig. higher and that's not happening anytime soon. 

 

[Zee]

I think this will be a huge problem for the Leafs. If, and likely, Matthews gets $11-$12m then Willie and Marner will be looking for $8. That's too much unless Cap is sig. higher and that's not happening anytime soon.

Well, we're talking 2 years from now before all 3 contracts are on the books, so the cap *could* be higher by $5-$10M then it is now.

 

[CarltonTheBear]

https://twitter.com/Jibblescribbits/status/885536809081610241

In Friedman's 30 Thoughts today he reported that McDavid DID drop his cap-hit from $13.25mil to $12.5mil because of the initial reaction to the report. Somehow I doubt this will be talked about much during the next lockout.