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Sabres @ Leafs - Apr. 2nd, 7:00pm - TSN4, TSN 1050

CarltonTheBear said:
If the Matthews/Nylander PP unit gets going the 2nd round is absolutely in reach.

I think the goaltenders are the biggest variable. Our goalie has to be a little better than the other guy.
 
The only teams the Leafs did not beat this season are St. Louis, Colorado, and Philadelphia.

We swept series(es?) against the following:
2 games: NSH, EDM, CGY, DAL, CHI, ANA
3 games: NYR, NYI, MTL

The only team we had a losing record against in our division was Tampa.
 
https://twitter.com/kristen_shilton/status/980993685658656769

I now believe that everything Babcock says is right and we shouldn't ever question him.
 
Zanzibar Buck-Buck McFate said:
CarltonTheBear said:
If the Matthews/Nylander PP unit gets going the 2nd round is absolutely in reach.
If they ever get him sorted out on the PP he'll be right there with Laine in goal scoring.
I argue he is already there with Laine. He'd be over 40 goals now if he played a whole year going by his career gpg. The kid is pretty good!
 
Guilt Trip said:
Zanzibar Buck-Buck McFate said:
CarltonTheBear said:
If the Matthews/Nylander PP unit gets going the 2nd round is absolutely in reach.
If they ever get him sorted out on the PP he'll be right there with Laine in goal scoring.
I argue he is already there with Laine. He'd be over 40 goals now if he played a whole year going by his career gpg. The kid is pretty good!

I mean, Matthews and Laine actually have identical goals-per-game rates this season.
 
Just a follow-up to that Matthews post. I don't think this has been getting enough attention but Auston has quite easily been the best 5-on-5 goal scorer in the league this season. McDavid leads that category with 30 5-on-5 goals in 80 games. Matthews has 26 in TWENTY less games.

He also leads the league in goals/60 at 5-on-5 with a rate of 1.75. This will be the 2nd year in a row he's led the league in that stat (last year he did it with 1.56).
 
CarltonTheBear said:
Just a follow-up to that Matthews post. I don't think this has been getting enough attention but Auston has quite easily been the best 5-on-5 goal scorer in the league this season. McDavid leads that category with 30 5-on-5 goals in 80 games. Matthews has 26 in TWENTY less games.

He also leads the league in goals/60 at 5-on-5 with a rate of 1.75. This will be the 2nd year in a row he's led the league in that stat (last year he did it with 1.56).

There is no reason he can't vastly improve his PP production.  Same with Nylander.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
Just a follow-up to that Matthews post. I don't think this has been getting enough attention but Auston has quite easily been the best 5-on-5 goal scorer in the league this season. McDavid leads that category with 30 5-on-5 goals in 80 games. Matthews has 26 in TWENTY less games.

He also leads the league in goals/60 at 5-on-5 with a rate of 1.75. This will be the 2nd year in a row he's led the league in that stat (last year he did it with 1.56).
McD has 35 5v5 goals, Matthews has 29. Matthews is tied for 2nd with Laine and Malkin for gpg% of .55.... OV leads. Funny thing for me. Everyone goes on and on about how great Laine is at scoring goals, and he is, but Matthews has matched him percentage wise both years now. He's just as good and doesn't depend on the pp to get his goals.
 
Guilt Trip said:
McD has 35 5v5 goals, Matthews has 29. Matthews is tied for 2nd with Laine and Malkin for gpg% of .55.... OV leads. Funny thing for me. Everyone goes on and on about how great Laine is at scoring goals, and he is, but Matthews has matched him percentage wise both years now. He's just as good and doesn't depend on the pp to get his goals.

Those stats are from NHL.com, which uses "even-strength" goals, which is more than just 5-on-5 (it'll includes 4-on-4, 3-on-3, and even empty net situations for some reason). The stats I posted were strictly 5-on-5. Just clarifying. It doesn't really make a difference, either way on a per-game basis Matthews leads the lead in EVG goals and 5-on-5 goals.
 
Guilt Trip said:
CarltonTheBear said:
Just a follow-up to that Matthews post. I don't think this has been getting enough attention but Auston has quite easily been the best 5-on-5 goal scorer in the league this season. McDavid leads that category with 30 5-on-5 goals in 80 games. Matthews has 26 in TWENTY less games.

He also leads the league in goals/60 at 5-on-5 with a rate of 1.75. This will be the 2nd year in a row he's led the league in that stat (last year he did it with 1.56).
McD has 35 5v5 goals, Matthews has 29. Matthews is tied for 2nd with Laine and Malkin for gpg% of .55.... OV leads. Funny thing for me. Everyone goes on and on about how great Laine is at scoring goals, and he is, but Matthews has matched him percentage wise both years now. He's just as good and doesn't depend on the pp to get his goals.

Laine's a finisher, he doesn't create offense all by himself.  He needs a guy to get him the puck in a good shooting spot and he can snipe it home.  Matthews can drive an offense all by himself, doesn't need to be setup.  That's my hot take on why Matthews > Laine
 
Zee said:
Guilt Trip said:
CarltonTheBear said:
Just a follow-up to that Matthews post. I don't think this has been getting enough attention but Auston has quite easily been the best 5-on-5 goal scorer in the league this season. McDavid leads that category with 30 5-on-5 goals in 80 games. Matthews has 26 in TWENTY less games.

He also leads the league in goals/60 at 5-on-5 with a rate of 1.75. This will be the 2nd year in a row he's led the league in that stat (last year he did it with 1.56).
McD has 35 5v5 goals, Matthews has 29. Matthews is tied for 2nd with Laine and Malkin for gpg% of .55.... OV leads. Funny thing for me. Everyone goes on and on about how great Laine is at scoring goals, and he is, but Matthews has matched him percentage wise both years now. He's just as good and doesn't depend on the pp to get his goals.

Laine's a finisher, he doesn't create offense all by himself.  He needs a guy to get him the puck in a good shooting spot and he can snipe it home.  Matthews can drive an offense all by himself, doesn't need to be setup.  That's my hot take on why Matthews > Laine

Just to add to this, stylistically speaking, Matthews can do his damage in just about every conceivable fashion: long distance snipe, breakaway rush, tic-tac-toe, net front garbage, random tips. Often it's no more than a one to two touch play for him before the puck is off the blade and in the net where he catch-settles the puck in mid-stride/shot.

Once his minutes actually ramp up, it wouldn't be surprising at all to see Matthews crest 50 goals as he is both a volume generator and works to do it from quality areas.

McDavid has commented earlier this season that he needs to work on scoring from different methods.
 
https://twitter.com/markhmasters/status/980996241852055553

Per naturalstattrick:
The pair played primarily behind the Kadri line, which was shelled against the Eichel line, but they did quite well shot-share-wise against the rest of the Sabres. Unfortunately, 9-10 of their 13 5-on-5 minutes were against Eichel's line, which snuck in a good number of dangerous chances.

I'm guessing they're going to play together again for the remaining games as Dermott walks off the shot block. I think it should help Zaitsev's confidence to have Hainsey barking directions to him to offload some of the decision-making strain, while Zaitsev being the primary engager can soak off the physical strain from Hainsey.
 
herman said:
https://twitter.com/markhmasters/status/980996241852055553

Per naturalstattrick:
The pair played primarily behind the Kadri line, which was shelled against the Eichel line, but they did quite well shot-share-wise against the rest of the Sabres. Unfortunately, 9-10 of their 13 5-on-5 minutes were against Eichel's line, which snuck in a good number of dangerous chances.

I'm guessing they're going to play together again for the remaining games as Dermott walks off the shot block. I think it should help Zaitsev's confidence to have Hainsey barking directions to him to offload some of the decision-making strain, while Zaitsev being the primary engager can soak off the physical strain from Hainsey.

I've been pushing Rielly-Gardiner, Dermott-Zaitsev, Hainsey-Carrick.... but I could live with

Dermott-Rielly, Gardiner-Polak(Carrick), Hainsey-Zaitsev if that means Hainsey-Zaitsev get hard minutes and can survive.  (Carrick in brackets because I prefer him, but we know Babs is gonna play Polak)
 
CarltonTheBear said:
Pretty sure Nylander knows he's now a goal away from a $212,500 bonus.

Categories for Schedule A bonuses (copied from the CBA)

(i)Ice time (aggregate and/or per Game). Player must be among top
six (6) forwards on the Club (minimum 42 Regular Season Games
played by Player and comparison group). (Note: an Entry Level
SPC may contain bonuses for both aggregate and per Game ice
time; however, the maximum aggregate amount the Player may
receive on account of the ice time category is $212,500.)

(ii) Goals: 20 Goal Minimum

(iii) Assists: 35 Assist Minimum

(iv) Points: 60 Point Minimum

(v) Points Per Game: .73 Points Per Game Minimum (minimum 42
Regular Season Games played)

(vi) Plus-Minus Rating: Among top three (3) forwards on the Club
(minimum 42 Regular Season Games played by Player and
comparison group).

As of last night, he's already got (i),(iii), (vi) so he only needs to hit one more category.  One assist over the last two games would give him both (iv) and (v) so he doesn't need a goal per say to achieve his maximum bonus amount. 

That said, a goal would be sweet just because it gives us SIX 20 goal scorers on the season.  There are only 110 players right now with 20 goals on the year.  Only Tampa has 6 players with 20.  (HAHA... Habs only have 1)
 
Coco-puffs said:
Dermott-Rielly, Gardiner-Polak(Carrick), Hainsey-Zaitsev if that means Hainsey-Zaitsev get hard minutes and can survive.  (Carrick in brackets because I prefer him, but we know Babs is gonna play Polak)

I think Polak, Plekanec, and Komarov are going to be givens in our initial playoff lineups, given Babcock's leanings. I like Carrick over Polak, but if Carrick needs to be deployed in Polak's role (hard PK mashing), I actually prefer Polak as that's really not Carrick's exact wheelhouse. Heck, it's Polak > Zaitsev right now, which is so horrifying to say.

Rielly-Dermott when chasing; Rielly-Hainsey when leading makes sense and they've already been doing that.

Hainsey-Zaitsev for tough matchups would not be my preference, but probably a great 3rd pair if deployed that way.
 

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