moon111
New member
What it means is they simulated all games, with each outcome being 50%. They did it 10,000,000 times and Pittsburgh and Boston made it every time.Zanzibar Buck-Buck McFate said:moon111 said:Sportsclubstats.com stuff:
Beat Ottawa 6-3, playoff odds up 8.2 to 67.6%
Pittsburgh 100%
Boston 100%
Tampa Bay 99.7%
*Montreal 84.4% -wildcard
NY Rangers 78.7%
Toronto 67.6%
Columbus 60.3%
New Jersey 47.7%
Carolina 46.6%
Detroit 39.2%
*Philadelphia 32.9% -wildcard
ottawa 27.3% (Tonight's game knocked them down 12.2%)
Washington 15.2
NY Islanders 0.2%
Florida 0.1%
Buffallo 0.0%
I'd just point out that unless PIT and BOS have already clinched their odds can't possibly be 100%. At least that's what I got from this:
Sports Club Stats calculates each team?s odds of making the playoffs, how each upcoming game will impact those odds, and how well they have to finish out to have a shot. It knows the season schedule and scores for past games. Each time the league owner sends in new scores it simulates the rest of the season by randomly picking scores for each remaining game. The weighted method takes the opponents record and home field advantage into account when randomly picking scores, so the better team is more likely to win. The 50/50 method gives each opponent an equal chance of winning each game. Both methods let an appropriate percent of games end in a tie or go into overtime in leagues where that matters. When it?s finished "playing" all the remaining games it applies the league?s tie breaking rules to see where everyone finished. It repeats this random playing out of the season million of times (try it yourself), keeping track of how many "seasons" each team finishes where. Finally it updates this page with the new results for you to read with your morning coffee.
To help flush out each team?s highest and lowest possible seeds, I force them to win or lose all their remaining games for a small percentage of the simulation runs. Click the league (on the left) to compare all teams.
Playoff odds: The percentage of simulated seasons we made the playoffs.
P W L-OT : Current points, wins, losses in regulation, and losses in overtime. A team gets 2 points for a win, 0 points for a loss in regulation, and 1 point for a loss in overtime.
Source: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern/Atlantic/Toronto.html