How many rounds of "not crushing it" in the playoffs does it take for Toronto fans, Leaf management and ownership to realize that's never going to happen unless substantial changes to this team architecture are made?
Getting Rantenan and moving Marner would have been a material step in that direction.
I have some hope that Stolarz and Tanev can provide some difference. But the Core are abysmal in the playoffs and will always be when they are playing together.
I still wonder about that.
Here's Leafs Playoff PPG adjusted for scoring era (45 or more games played to get Lanny McDonald in there)
Rk Player__________ Adj Playoffs PPG
_1 Doug Gilmour........ 1.39
_2 Mats Sundin.......... 1.00
_3 Gary Roberts......... 0.93
_4 Mitch Marner......... 0.92
_5 Auston Matthews.. 0.91
_6 Darryl Sittler.......... 0.90
_7 Gordie Drillon....... 0.90
_8 William Nylander.. 0.83
_9 Red Kelly.............. 0.80
10 Ted Kennedy......... 0.79
11 Dave Keon............ 0.74
12 Lanny McDonald.. 0.73
13 Ian Turnbull.......... 0.71
14 Wendel Clark....... 0.65
15 Syl Apps............... 0.63
(I've obviously forgotten how to do tables ..)
I adjusted for scoring after I grabbed the top 15 by actual ppg so some other Leafs might slide on this list and knock some lower off if I did it 'right' But I was lazy.
The core 4 last playoff got 16% of the ice time and 50% of the goals
The core 4 last playoff got 33% of the ice time for forwards and 57% of the goals by forwards
The D contributed 1 goal.
Marner to me is special because not only did he put up those numbers - unlike many on the list, he did a lot of PK. He is second to Sundin in PK ice time for Leafs forwards since '97-'98 or so. And unlike some on the list, he played a good two way game as his Selke votes attest.
To me, that reinforces the notion that the supporting cast is likely to be the bigger problem.
I feel like we are being duped by lazy media
Right now, there are only 6 other UFA forwards age 32 (5 years older than Marner) or less with a ppg of .55 or better. (less than half of Marner's 1.27 ppg)
There will very likely will be less UFAs by July 1
The Leafs have been stupid to play games with this player. If they lose him, they can't replace him. They won't get two .55ppg or better UFAs to sign for half of Marner's salary. Like the trade deadline, desperate GMs will be spending like drunks on the few UFAs left when July 1 rolls around.