Kin
New member
Omallley said:He (and others) were burned by Trump during the primaries in the sense that they didn't give him much/any chance to win (great read on that retrospective) which could be informing some of that conservative-ness.
Yeah, I'm not enough of a stats guy to really have intelligent things to say re: the various methods he uses it just strikes me that his "Polls-Plus" model effectively does the same thing as he's saying tripped him up here.
That said, we're just talking about the difference between a few percentage points but it still strikes me as odd. Either way, I'm happy to go with the PEC and RCP stuff.