slapshot said:
I don't share the view that tanking is the answer and history doesn't show any guarantees. While some teams with top picks, Chicago, Pittsburgh have won Stanley Cups with because of high picks, others teams that have accumulated them -- Edmonton, Washington, Ottawa previously -- haven't been able to parlay them in Stanley Cups.
That's like saying that going to college doesn't matter because you can go to college, get your degree and still end up unemployed.
Nobody has ever said that tanking guarantees anything or that it will achieve good results independent of having a good management team in place making good decisions. Just that it's the best and most direct way to accumulate the sort of talent you need to build a winner. Your plan for the Leafs boils down to basically that they don't need to rebuild because they can just "find" a #1 centre and top defensemen like those are things that other teams are eager to give away.
"Just do things better" isn't actually a strategy.
slapshot said:
Other teams, such as, LA, St.Louis, Anaheim, have had maybe one top five pick and a host of late first and even later picks that form their core.
On Anaheim, Getzlaf was 19th, Perry 28th, Kesler, 23rd, Fowler, 12th.
St.Louis, apart from Pietangelo at 4th, Tarasenko 16th, Oshie and Steen both 16th, Stastny 44, and Backus 62.
Of the ten players you name here, four were drafted in 2003 which is hands down the best draft year in the history of the NHL. Using picks from those years as "evidence" that Franchise players can be found up and down the draft is essentially advocating for the Leafs to sit around and hope that lightning strikes.
Players picked in the top 5 of a draft are not the equal of each other simply by virtue of draft position. Rielly was taken 5th in what looks to be an incredibly weak draft year. The Kings have Drew Doughty, taken second in an incredibly strong draft year. Are they a wash? Is the Leafs hoping to build around JVR a wash with the Islanders building around Tavares because they were both top 5 picks?
For years people said that the Leafs should build their team the way that the Red Wings did in the 90's but Communism was never going to fall a second time. At some point you actually have to try to deal with how talent is actually distributed in a repeatable way.