Bender said:
CW: Is this not to some extent rolling over your prospect roster? We let guys like Caputi and Aulie go because they didn't seem to be working in our organization for guys like Carter Ashton and Nicolas Deschamps while trying to find lost wallets at every turn.
Captui & Aulie for Deschamps & Ashton is young prospect for young prospect. To me, that's closer to treading water - salvaging prospect value.
In my mind, rolling over the roster tends to move out older guys for younger players/assets building up a bigger snowball of good young talent to move forward with. In general theory that will compress more NHL talent on a roster into a quality young core with better price performance and more shots (seasons) to win it all as a group.
So the Ashton/Deschamps acquisitions don't perfectly fit that mold in my opinion (although both look like reasonable deals). Beauchemin for Gardiner or Kaberle for Colbourne are examples of rolling over older players for younger quality assets. Getting a 1st for MacArthur and signing an equivalent UFA in the summer is arguably also a form of rolling over a player to improve the youth assets because come July 1, your NHL roster is about the same with a UFA replacing MacArthur and you have an additional 1st round pick in your system.
If a GM rolls over a roster a couple of/few times like that, he ought to have a pretty strong system with some good quality youth to move forward with. To me, it's more productive towards winning a Cup than treading water to see if the current, marginal roster can make the playoffs with little chance of winning a Cup because the roster still has so many holes.
If a team gets the rolling over too spread out, then that also doesn't achieve the same effect. Once a team starts to contend, it's much tougher to roll over the roster because they need the depth and vets to contend.
To a degree, Burke's failure at "re-tooling" that resulting in some "rebuilding" last season and now to a tread water mode this deadline, is spreading the rolling over out (or ending it if they begin to contend next year).
At that point, the subsequent drafts continue to feed the NHL roster replacing older players but a team tends to burn up excess assets up trying to get that roster over the top. So the bigger the snowball of youth you've built up, the longer you can go with your core once that is built, trying to win it all.
If you try to contend too soon, more often than not, you run out of young assets and have to blow the thing up sooner.