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The Leo Komarov Question

Bates said:
I'm not sure good management would subject the fanbase to another 3 months like last season ended.  The cupboards can get filled slowly while the fans are being entertained as well.  But again if it's a Franson like return I'm in as well.

All due respect, and I think the variety of opinions on this thread back me up, you can't really speak for "the fanbase" and what they'd like to see. The last three months of last season didn't bother me nearly as much as the first three months.
 
Availability and pricing of tickets suggest to me that fan base took a hit with last season's team. I doubt the owners want to see a repeat of that.
Nik the Trik said:
Bates said:
I'm not sure good management would subject the fanbase to another 3 months like last season ended.  The cupboards can get filled slowly while the fans are being entertained as well.  But again if it's a Franson like return I'm in as well.

All due respect, and I think the variety of opinions on this thread back me up, you can't really speak for "the fanbase" and what they'd like to see. The last three months of last season didn't bother me nearly as much as the first three months.
 
Bates said:
Availability and pricing of tickets suggest to me that fan base took a hit with last season's team. I doubt the owners want to see a repeat of that.

The Leafs reported attendance this year is higher than it was last year. That suggests to me that the team built up some genuine excitement by starting to go in the right direction and that any "hit" the fanbase took was so temporary as to be inconsequential.

Besides, the team didn't collapse because of those trades.
 
I'm talking more of resale market for tickets. No collapse was not from trades but team was pretty close to unwatchable after the deadline. I think there will be a little more emphasis on entertainment value this season and trades will be a little more thought out as we are a lot further along on rebuild as opposed to same time last year. Another decent first round pick and a few potentials and we will continue to grow. Just trading half the team for picks every year is not a guarantee of success. Sometimes it's better to keep some players to aid in growth.
Nik the Trik said:
Bates said:
Availability and pricing of tickets suggest to me that fan base took a hit with last season's team. I doubt the owners want to see a repeat of that.

The Leafs reported attendance this year is higher than it was last year. That suggests to me that the team built up some genuine excitement by starting to go in the right direction and that any "hit" the fanbase took was so temporary as to be inconsequential.

Besides, the team didn't collapse because of those trades.
 
Bates said:
I'm talking more of resale market for tickets. No collapse was not from trades but team was pretty close to unwatchable after the deadline. I think there will be a little more emphasis on entertainment value this season and trades will be a little more thought out as we are a lot further along on rebuild as opposed to same time last year. Another decent first round pick and a few potentials and we will continue to grow. Just trading half the team for picks every year is not a guarantee of success. Sometimes it's better to keep some players to aid in growth.

Doing something twice does not constitute doing it every year. Additionally, trading away players at this year's deadline opens spots that can be filled by Marlies, something that would probably move the needle in the right direction in terms of what fans want to see.
 
All true and generally a good idea to get picks or prospects for expiring contracts who are not part of future plans. That's where Leo is different, he has years left and fits well here. I would still trade him for good return but would want him kept if offer is not good. 1st round pick sort of good or A level prospect.
Nik the Trik said:
Bates said:
I'm talking more of resale market for tickets. No collapse was not from trades but team was pretty close to unwatchable after the deadline. I think there will be a little more emphasis on entertainment value this season and trades will be a little more thought out as we are a lot further along on rebuild as opposed to same time last year. Another decent first round pick and a few potentials and we will continue to grow. Just trading half the team for picks every year is not a guarantee of success. Sometimes it's better to keep some players to aid in growth.

Doing something twice does not constitute doing it every year. Additionally, trading away players at this year's deadline opens spots that can be filled by Marlies, something that would probably move the needle in the right direction in terms of what fans want to see.
 
Bates said:
All true and generally a good idea to get picks or prospects for expiring contracts who are not part of future plans. That's where Leo is different, he has years left and fits well here. I would still trade him for good return but would want him kept if offer is not good. 1st round pick sort of good or A level prospect.

I think we broadly agree. How I'd phrase it is that if the Leafs only receive offers for Komarov that reflect a general opinion that his increased scoring this year isn't really indicative of any real growth on his part then trading him now might not make sense. If the offers they get value him as the 35 points in 104 games player he was before this season, you might as well keep him.

Where we disagree is that A) I think the above happening, of no GM looking at Komarov this year and overpaying, is almost so remote as to be not really worth entertaining(especially as, like you say, he's got term left and is therefore more valuable than a rental) and B) what the price point is at which trading him makes sense.
 
I think you will be correct on both fronts but I do wonder if contract after this season will cause some teams to back off for Cap reasons going forward??
Nik the Trik said:
Bates said:
All true and generally a good idea to get picks or prospects for expiring contracts who are not part of future plans. That's where Leo is different, he has years left and fits well here. I would still trade him for good return but would want him kept if offer is not good. 1st round pick sort of good or A level prospect.

I think we broadly agree. How I'd phrase it is that if the Leafs only receive offers for Komarov that reflect a general opinion that his increased scoring this year isn't really indicative of any real growth on his part then trading him now might not make sense. If the offers they get value him as the 35 points in 104 games player he was before this season, you might as well keep him.

Where we disagree is that A) I think the above happening, of no GM looking at Komarov this year and overpaying, is almost so remote as to be not really worth entertaining(especially as, like you say, he's got term left and is therefore more valuable than a rental) and B) what the price point is at which trading him makes sense.
 
Nik the Trik said:
The Leafs reported attendance this year is higher than it was last year. That suggests to me that the team built up some genuine excitement by starting to go in the right direction and that any "hit" the fanbase took was so temporary as to be inconsequential.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/sports/hockey/rogers-early-season-tv-ratings-down-sharply-for-nhl-maple-leafs/article27702912/

Not sure if things improved since Oct, but TV viewership didn't mirror attendance.
 
2badknees said:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/sports/hockey/rogers-early-season-tv-ratings-down-sharply-for-nhl-maple-leafs/article27702912/

Not sure if things improved since Oct, but TV viewership didn't mirror attendance.

What a coincidence. That's when Sportsnet started doing the bulk of the hockey games.
 
Bates said:
I'm not sure good management would subject the fanbase to another 3 months like last season ended.  The cupboards can get filled slowly while the fans are being entertained as well.  But again if it's a Franson like return I'm in as well.

Smart management includes smart risk & assessment.  The management team the Leafs incorporate now exceeds any that we have had or seen before.  Considering the decisions and choices made at last year's Entry Draft,  including but not limited to player/personnel changes/additions, trades, eto. that we've seen take place up to now, we fans shouldn't cry over spilt milk, so to speak, even if a player we like (such as Komarov) can yield a good rate or two in return.

That is, even if the Leafs are lousy but  (hopefully and eventually) improving.
There is hope for the near future and the excitement of that does not dampen my not watching any of the televised games whenever I can.  If I could afford to attend the games, or if were a subscriber, my interest wouldn't wane a bit.

I'm certain that once the Leafs start resembling a contender, no one will be able to get enough of this team.
 
Highlander said:
Merry Christmas Nutman?.wherever you are?.come back to the board?

X2

Same goes for Cornflake, BlueWhiteBlood and Dr. Bobby.

Edit to add, and Green Leaf, anton girdeaux, and of course, cw.

I'm sure I've missed some.
 
Tigger said:
Highlander said:
Merry Christmas Nutman?.wherever you are?.come back to the board?

X2

Same goes for Cornflake, BlueWhiteBlood and Dr. Bobby.

Edit to add, and Green Leaf, anton girdeaux, and of course, cw.

I'm sure I've missed some.

How 'bout the ladies?  LittleHockeyFan, hockey_gal, AlmosGirl, and perhaps some others, where are you?
 
hockeyfan1 said:
Tigger said:
Highlander said:
Merry Christmas Nutman?.wherever you are?.come back to the board?

X2

Same goes for Cornflake, BlueWhiteBlood and Dr. Bobby.

Edit to add, and Green Leaf, anton girdeaux, and of course, cw.

I'm sure I've missed some.

How 'bout the ladies?  LittleHockeyFan, hockey_gal, AlmosGirl, and perhaps some others, where are you?

Yes!
 
2badknees said:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/sports/hockey/rogers-early-season-tv-ratings-down-sharply-for-nhl-maple-leafs/article27702912/

Not sure if things improved since Oct, but TV viewership didn't mirror attendance.

Sure, except that article says that viewing numbers were down virtually across the board. The late game on HNIC and the Sunday night game(which the Leafs never play) are both down sharply as well. If viewing numbers are down when the Leafs aren't playing it's hard to attribute the drop for the Leafs to any specific decisions they made.
 
Nik the Trik said:
2badknees said:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/sports/hockey/rogers-early-season-tv-ratings-down-sharply-for-nhl-maple-leafs/article27702912/

Not sure if things improved since Oct, but TV viewership didn't mirror attendance.

Sure, except that article says that viewing numbers were down virtually across the board. The late game on HNIC and the Sunday night game(which the Leafs never play) are both down sharply as well. If viewing numbers are down when the Leafs aren't playing it's hard to attribute the drop for the Leafs to any specific decisions they made.

I think there's more to it than that. The late game on HNIC generally draws carryover viewership from the previous game, and Shoalts goes into specifics on the other markets (McDavid injury, etc).

I really doubt that average fans are "genuinely excited" to the point where revenues haven't been affected. Perhaps its not evident directly in ticket sales, with a huge base of legacy season ticket holders, but fan interest is clearly down specifically in the toronto market. I've had constant offers for free tickets this year, and even on fan websites game day threads are pretty sparse.
 
herman said:
2badknees said:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/sports/hockey/rogers-early-season-tv-ratings-down-sharply-for-nhl-maple-leafs/article27702912/

Not sure if things improved since Oct, but TV viewership didn't mirror attendance.

What a coincidence. That's when Sportsnet started doing the bulk of the hockey games.

Heh, no doubt, Rogers has made a complete hash of it. But on the plus side, in the intermissions, I basically just check to see how pointy Strombo's shoes are, and then watch half of a homeland episode.
 
Highlander said:
Merry Christmas Nutman?.wherever you are?.come back to the board?




Merry Christmas to you and all. I am back on here , and will be popping back in here most days. I hope all is well with everyone.
Oh ya ... I like the road the Leafs are on, and can not wait to see how things go in the next year or two. I have been going to some London knights games and think we have a real gem in Mitch Mariner.
 
Nik the Trik said:
2badknees said:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/sports/hockey/rogers-early-season-tv-ratings-down-sharply-for-nhl-maple-leafs/article27702912/

Not sure if things improved since Oct, but TV viewership didn't mirror attendance.

Sure, except that article says that viewing numbers were down virtually across the board. The late game on HNIC and the Sunday night game(which the Leafs never play) are both down sharply as well. If viewing numbers are down when the Leafs aren't playing it's hard to attribute the drop for the Leafs to any specific decisions they made.

Living in BC, it's very rare this year for me to get the opportunity to watch the Leafs.  From what I can tell, I have every channel available (except the NHL channel this year) but most of the games so far have been on TSN4 which doesn't seem to be available out here.  Very frustrating.  I don't remember it being this difficult to catch a Leaf game in the past.
 
2badknees said:
I think there's more to it than that. The late game on HNIC generally draws carryover viewership from the previous game, and Shoalts goes into specifics on the other markets (McDavid injury, etc).
All he does is offer suggestions for why ratings might be bad. The Canucks got off to a bad start(so 20% of people stopped watching them?), McDavid got hurt(but he played in half the games during the relevant time frame, shouldn't that balance it out?) and for Sunday nights....well, he didn't offer any explanation there. Again, ratings seem to be down regardless.

For instance:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/sports/hockey/stanley-cup-ratings-dip-in-canada-while-soaring-in-us/article24992609/

But while it was the most-watched game of the Stanley Cup final, the audience number in Canada was down substantially from the average of 3.28 million viewers who tuned into last year?s Stanley Cup final ? Game 5 in the New York Rangers-Los Angeles Kings series. Moreover, Monday?s Canadian rating was the lowest in a Cup-deciding game since 2003, when the Anaheim Ducks and New Jersey Devils drew 2.2 million.

If these ratings numbers are as heavily impacted by how good the teams are as you are suggsting and Shoals inferring, why were the Cup finals similarly affected? Chicago and Tampa are good teams who played a good series. It's not like the LA-New York series had a Canadian team in it. So why are ratings down everywhere?

It's probably a combination of things. Cord-cutting(ESPN has lost 7 million subscribers in the last two years) is making it's way to Canada. In shifting games to Cable, you're losing a lot of potential eyeballs before the puck is dropped and regardless of who's playing.

2badknees said:
I really doubt that average fans are "genuinely excited" to the point where revenues haven't been affected. Perhaps its not evident directly in ticket sales, with a huge base of legacy season ticket holders, but fan interest is clearly down specifically in the toronto market. I've had constant offers for free tickets this year, and even on fan websites game day threads are pretty sparse.

Look, I could talk about shifting habits in media consumption all day but that's secondary to the real issue here. Let's say we agree on the "what", the actual contention is the "why".

The contention put forth was that what caused a dip in fan interest was the team's terrible play during the second half of last year and that that was a good reason not to trade a host of players at the deadline. However, nobody has really suggested that trading the players the Leafs did really caused that terrible play. The suggestion is that if you trade a player like Komarov, people will stop watching. But people are already not watching. So the question becomes what is most likely going to make Rogers happier, keeping around a relatively low impact player like Komarov? Or the team rebuilding themselves into a good one as quickly as possible?

The article you cite seems to make a basic point. If a team is bad, fewer people watch them. Not "if a team is bad, but has likable third line grinders, TV numbers are fine". The Leafs are bad and were always going to be. They are by design. I'm guessing management is far more concerned with getting them good than making them a slightly more appealing bad.
 

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