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2011-2012 NHL Thread

Saint Nik said:
dm_for_pm said:
Sign me up for Malkin. He's a more complete player.

He really can take over a game. Stamkos is more of a pure sniper.

I think most people would take Messier over Hull in their primes even though Hull was probably the premier goal scorer in the NHL from '88-'94.

But on it's face that's a comparison that doesn't hold a lick of water here. The reason people would take Messier over Hull in their primes would be because of the non-scoring things Messier brought over Hull. Things like grit, face-offs and, ugh, leadership. Does Malkin have the edge over Stamkos in any of those things? Neither guy is much for taking face-offs, neither guy is acknowledged as their team's leader and Stamkos plays a much more physical game, being credited with four times as many hits as Malkin.

Messier, it could legitimately be argued, was a more well-rounded player than Hull. Malkin does not seem to hold that edge over Stamkos. I can't pretend to speak authoritatively as to their abilities defensively but Stamkos, as mentioned, is a more physical player and the one who's gotten a little bit of PK time this year.

Hey Nik, I'm not making an argument, just the way I see the two players.

I think Malkin is like a modern day Messier. Everything you say about Messier I feel about Malkin. I think Malkin plays with a lot of grit and is more well rounded than Stamkos... makes players around him better and all that jazz.

Let's not discredit his conn smythe and upcoming hart trophy too much. 
 
dm_for_pm said:
I think Malkin is like a modern day Messier.

I mean, that's just not true. He's not good on face-offs, he doesn't play a physical game, I've never heard him described as being an exceptional locker room guy...those are the things that made Messier special.
 
hockeyfan1 said:
Good article outlining the players who have trained with Gary Roberts, and some up-and-comers....

http://www.thehockeynews.com/articles/45945-Kennedy-Cody-Hodgson-due-for-breakout-season-in-201213.html

Thanks for that article.  It was interesting.  I would have to say though, it is very hard to infer much about how good Gary Roberts actually is without more data -- just cherry picking the results of the top-end clients who have succeeded doesn't give an accurate picture of what "normally" happens when a client sees him.  I'd like to see the scoring rate *all* his clients before and after as well as their age.  Then we could could compare the results to players of a similar age and scoring ability who don't see Roberts.
 
Saint Nik said:
dm_for_pm said:
I think Malkin is like a modern day Messier.

I mean, that's just not true. He's not good on face-offs, he doesn't play a physical game, I've never heard him described as being an exceptional locker room guy...those are the things that made Messier special.

No, It's true! I do think that Nik. You're "He's not as good at faceoffs" argument didn't sway me.

I agree with you that Malkin isn't as special as Mark. Kinda in the same way Crosby isn't as special as Lemieux.

Who would you say is a Messier clone playing today?
 
dm_for_pm said:
I agree with you that Malkin isn't as special as Mark. Kinda in the same way Crosby isn't as special as Lemieux.

But Malkin isn't remotely the same kind of player. He's credited with 25 hits this year. That's less than Tim Connolly for instance.

dm_for_pm said:
Who would you say is a Messier clone playing today?

The guy who immediately jumps out at me, the guy with a similar combination of skills like the grit, the leadership, the peripherals is Toews. Toews isn't super-physical but it's not a bad match. Getzlaf is like that, Mike Richards at his best...guys like that. Malkin is a super talented player offensively but he's not a well rounded guy who's great in all three zones. That to me is Messier.
 
Saint Nik said:
ontariojames said:
Malkin is healthy, is on pace to only miss 7 games, is only 25, and only makes 1.2 mil more than Stamkos.

Stamkos is 22(42 months younger than Malkin), makes less and, unlike Malkin, hasn't missed 61 games over the last 3 seasons.

ontariojames said:
If the question is who do you want right now to help you win a cup I don't see how you don't go with the 113 point big center who has shown he can dominate in the playoffs over a guy who we have no idea if he'll ever dominate like that in the playoffs and in the one playoffs he's been in was rather underwhelming.

Stamkos is the better goal scorer, a more physical player and is putting up the numbers he's putting up on a worse team.

As to the playoff question we've seen more of Malkin not dominating in the playoffs than we've seen him do it. If we're asking ourselves "Will these guys be great in the playoffs" the reality is that the answer is more or less the same. With Malkin it's "He might, he's done it before but his record in that regard is pretty spotty" and with Stamkos it's "He could. He's certainly good enough but he hasn't yet". Both guys records the last time they were in the playoffs are pretty similar.
The point about the age was made because if we are just talking about right now, and not building for a few years down the road, it doesn't matter if Stamkos is younger because Malkin is still only 25 and in the middle of his prime. 

To say that Stamkos and Malkin's expectancy to be great in the playoffs is about the same is absolutely ridiculous. Malkin has been in the playoffs 4 times, 1 of 4 was when he was a 19 year old rookie and clearly wasn't the same player he is right now and I don't think it's fair to expect a 19 year old rookie to be great in the playoffs in his first NHL season so lets disregard that and look at his last 3 playoffs. One of them was absolutely dominant, one was great, and one he dominated in the first round and then ran into the red hot Halak and the Canadiens who were doing something special that year as an 8th seed that were expected to get dominated by the Caps in the first round and both him and Crosby were shut down in that series. Also, not every great playoff player is going to be great every series or every year. Malkin has shown twice in 3 years when he wasn't a 19 year old rookie that he can come up big in the playoffs.

As far as Malkin playing on a better offensive team, the difference is smaller than it looks. Since Crosby has come back, the Penguins have scored at a much higher rate than normal and if you do the math and figure out how many goals the Penguins would have if they had scored at the same rate before Crosby came back they would be at 251. Malkin has point production has also benefited so if you give him the same ppg pace he was on before Crosby returned he would have 99 points.  In that scenario Malkin would have 7 more points Than Stamkos so Malkin has helped contribute 7 more goals than Stamkos to his team, so if you give Stamkos Malkin's production then TB would have 230 goals, only 21 less than Pittsburgh. Also, the biggest factor in offensive support for a player is the linemates they usually play with and Stamkos' usual linemates and Malkin's usual linemates are pretty even. So when you factor that in there's not much difference at all.

So to recap, based on their two best seasons Malkin is averaging 18 more points and has shown he's a good bet to be great in the playoffs, whereas we have no idea if Stamkos were to play in the playoffs right now if he has the ability to be great in the playoffs and based and what we've seen so far hasn't been good. Malkin being 1.2 mil more expensive and having one bad year of injury trouble in a career where he's been pretty healthy shouldn't make anyone want to choose Stamkos over Malkin to win right now.
 
dm_for_pm said:
Who would you say is a Messier clone playing today?

The broke the mold when they made Mess but the closest thing today? I think you have to look at the talented power centres that just do it all. Nowhere near the level Mess was but I see some Mess in Backes. I just love that guy.
 
ontariojames said:
The point about the age was made because if we are just talking about right now, and not building for a few years down the road, it doesn't matter if Stamkos is younger because Malkin is still only 25 and in the middle of his prime.

But his age is still an asset in the here and now. 

ontariojames said:
As far as Malkin playing on a better offensive team, the difference is smaller than it looks.

Actually, what I said was that Malkin plays on a better team, period. Tampa's a little better offensively and much worse defensively. As a general rule, I think the quality of a team lifts the stats of the players on it.

ontariojames said:
Also, the biggest factor in offensive support for a player is the linemates they usually play with and Stamkos' usual linemates and Malkin's usual linemates are pretty even. So when you factor that in there's not much difference at all.

That's certainly a factor, maybe the biggest, but you can't discount the impact good defensemen have on a forward line. Leaving alone great offense from defensemen for a second, just having guys who are especially good at clearing the puck are going to move the play into the offensive zone more often, giving the offense a better chance to score. The Tampa defense is a trainwreck.

Along those lines, playing on a bad team means you're more likely to be playing against a team that's protecting a lead. If you're leading the other team is liable to leave themselves open to counterattack as they try to catch up.

ontariojames said:
Malkin being 1.2 mil more expensive and having one bad year of injury trouble in a career where he's been pretty healthy shouldn't make anyone want to choose Stamkos over Malkin to win right now.

Those shouldn't be anyone's primary reasons but they do factor in Stamkos' favour. Like I've said, the goal scoring and physical play are probably why I'd give the edge to Stamkos.

Also, I think you're being a little unfair with regards to Stamkos in last year's playoffs. He was good. Not great, but good.
 
Peter D. said:
Potvin29 said:
Imagine if LA could score?

Quick: 32-19-11, 1.96 GAA, .930 SV%, 8 shutouts

Has Quick become the Vezina favourite? He is carrying the Kings to the playoffs. He and Miller have been absolute workhorses lately.

Fun fact -- Reimer has the same cap hit as Quick.  :o

Another shutout last night.  10 on the season now (1st overall), 1.89 GAA (2nd overall) , .931 SV% (4th overall), 35 wins (5th overall).
 
Just in case your opinion of Charles Wang can't get lower (and let's throw Mike Milbury in too for his wonderful comment): http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304023504577319912036433148.html
 
Wow, brutal.

I've never seen a team try so hard to distance themselves from a former star for something pretty petty.
 
Peter D. said:
Potvin29 said:
Imagine if LA could score?

Quick: 32-19-11, 1.96 GAA, .930 SV%, 8 shutouts

Has Quick become the Vezina favourite? He is carrying the Kings to the playoffs. He and Miller have been absolute workhorses lately.

Fun fact -- Reimer has the same cap hit as Quick.  :o

I'd say it's down to him and Lundqvist - their stats are awfully similar, but, my guess is the "East coast bias" and reputation get Lundqvist his first trophy.
 
Potvin29 said:
Just in case your opinion of Charles Wang can't get lower (and let's throw Mike Milbury in too for his wonderful comment): http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304023504577319912036433148.html

Millbury's having a good week for the stupid.  He was calling out Crosby and saying people should have open season on him.  It's really amazing how a guy who was disastrously incompetent at his job has a job criticizing people who have character.
 
Potvin29 said:
Just in case your opinion of Charles Wang can't get lower (and let's throw Mike Milbury in too for his wonderful comment): http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304023504577319912036433148.html

Hockey jeebus checks off another tally under 'taking names'...
 

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