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2022-23 Toronto Maple Leafs General Discussion

Nik said:
hobarth said:
This is a decent response but let me point out that I'm a Leaf fan and as such I couldn't give a flying fig about how well Kadri is/was doing so I don't have any sort of inner understanding of what's going on in Colorado.

It is absolutely reasonable and understandable that you don't understand the inner workings of what's going on in Colorado. What's somewhat less reasonable is when you form an argument that, boiled down, seems to be along the lines of "I don't know what they're doing in Colorado and also the Leafs should do what they're doing in Colorado."

Given the Avalanche just won the cup it's understandable to want that same level of success but absent a specific suggestion on what they did the Leafs could also do to achieve it, the argument you're putting forth is not really fact and/or evidence based.

hobarth said:
Some players are more receptive to different people for God knows what reason, some players simply need to move to different teams where their abilities have a chance of being recognized, examples Stephenson, Karlsson and Theodore on Vegas.

Yes. This is why whatever it was Colorado did to get a good season out of Kadri(if they really "did" anything) is probably not a one-size-fits all approach that could just as easily apply here.

Also Theodore seems like a weird example. He was 21 when he left Anaheim for Vegas and had played pretty well for Anaheim in his two short stints there. That seems less like an example of Anaheim being a bad fit for him as it does just the way a talented player develops with time. I don't think there's any reason to state with any sense of certainty he wouldn't have developed into just as good a player with the Ducks.

hobarth said:
I am obviously stating that TO's coaching hasn't/isn't reaching TO's players to the level required for them to thrive in the playoffs but it might not be necessary to replace the coach, probably a good idea, but spend $s on something that is missing, proper motivators, maybe?

Two problems here. One, I think most people would say we just saw the Leafs play pretty well in the Playoffs(certainly better against the Lightning than the team you think is the most talented in the NHL), specifically their top players. Absent believing it's impossible to play well in the playoffs but still lose a series, I don't think there is reason to believe that whatever the Leafs are doing isn't motivating their star players.

Secondly, again, absent a specific suggestion here I'm not sure this should be read as a meaningful criticism or suggestion. We've already agreed that not every player responds to "motivation" in the same way so there really can't be anything along the lines of someone we can objectively say would improve the Leafs motivation even if that were the problem. Again, like you said, he's been with the Avalanche a few years and had disappointing years there too and you don't even know if they did try new things with him or new "Motivators". So you're not even necessarily suggesting that the Avalanche even did something the Leafs could copy.

hobarth said:
Let's get back to Kadri, a 30 year old Kadri, 30 year olds don't usually pull career years out of well you know, they're usually in some state of decline, Kadri put together a statistical year where he had close to double the amount of points that could be expected from him in a normal year, that was stupendous. Mitch and Austin also had better years but at 23 and 24 they are expected to, a 30 year old Kadri is normally expected to hopefully maintain, not do anything close to what he did with his history. Kadri in his previous 2 contract years managed 39 and 45 points, I'd say that Kadri thrived this year for a reason beyond the fact that he needs to sign another contract.

Sure and in my response to you I suggested several reasons aside from his contract why his output might be stronger this year. Quality of teammates, the leaguewide bump in scoring, the general return to normalcy this year...whatever.

And while Kadri did have so-so years in his last two contract years, he is older now and, one hopes, more mature. He's got a family. He knows, realistically, this is his last year for a big UFA deal. That's a lot of motivation.

And he has been an inconsistent scorer in his career. He has had good offensive years before. I don't think anyone would have been shocked if you told them he would have had a 30 goal, 60+ point season this year. The gap between that and what he did is the one that needs to be explained and once you get into quality of teammates and bump in league-wide scoring and, yes, just him having a career year the discrepancy that you want to attribute to a mysterious motivational guru or technique probably isn't that huge.

hobarth said:
Teams are chemistry experiments but imagine if a team could somehow break thru the chemistry experimental phase and find something more decisive like money ball hinted at.

Feels like it's worth mentioning that Moneyball and it's origins are sort of famous for yielding good regular season results but disappointing playoff results. Despite that, the A's have never been "Let's go back to judging players by whether or not they're handsome because all these numbers aren't winning playoff series'"

hobarth said:
I watched a lot of the playoffs this year and I noticed how committed Colorado's top players were, that was a level I never felt was equaled by TO's top players.

And this is sort of my point about why it's important to make fact and/or evidence based arguments. Because, absent that, it just boils down to your particular interpretations of players commitment levels, judged through a TV screen.

That's certainly a fair thing for you to have an opinion on if you want. It's just not really a fertile ground for debate and discussion.

hobarth said:
I'd say based on pure talent Florida should've lifted the Cup this year and I think Florida is wise to replace their coach.   

I feel like there's a lot I could say to this but primarily I feel like reducing Florida's coaching decision re: Brunette to "They didn't get enough out of their talent level in the playoffs" misses just about ten miles worth of relevant information with regards to Florida's situation this year. I mean, Brunette was never Florida's permanent head coach, for starters.

TO doesn't pay me to figure out how they should/can win. TO's superior players didn't have the same level of commitment that TB minus Point did and TO needs to find someone or someway to get their winning level of character.

Theodore was the player that I had hoped TO would've drafted instead of the Goat, he wasn't someone that Anaheim should've exposed in that expansion draft. Theodore was a player that should've been protected and like most coaches he wasn't played enough with Anaheim because he wasn't a vet so they didn't have enough info to retain him, essentially the same situation as the other players I mentioned that Vegas drafted or traded for.

Teams have coaches for their goalies, they have defensive coaches, PP coaches, PK coaches so why not have motivational coaches, does that not all teams do something mean that doing something different makes that innovation wrong. I think that Cooper is probably a superior motivator as he has a physiological background, do I know that he is, no, but I do know he coached TB to 2 Stanley Cups and an appearance in a 3rd Cup final.

Having opinions based on TV observations is legitimate, why in your opinion isn't it, because you say so, really? 

Playing pretty well isn't going anywhere for TO, changes need to be made and those changes need to be made to TO's superior players so that they aren't content to play pretty well, all excuses aside. Kadri had a big role in Colorado's win, for some reason he felt well enough connected to the team to be far more involved than he ever was in TO.

Kadri never came close in any way to the level of his scoring that he had this year, he finished 19th in scoring so it doesn't matter why other players did better offensively this year as he finished higher in the scoring race that at any time in his past, he's been with Colorado for 3 years and he had 2 contract years prior his contract for the last 5 years, he didn't produce then. Some players have had better years in their 30s but I think the difference in Kadri was so pronounced this year and very close to unprecedented. He was TO's best center at times with TO, he got the most icetime, he played with Mitch for a year but nothing he did in his past suggested that he was capable of the level of play he maintained this year. 

Brunnette isn't their coach and that's a good thing, mountains of info that could make who, Florida fans feel better about losing doesn't amount to anything but their team being a loser, oh ya, just like TO. TO can't even get past the first round against teams like Montreal and Columbus, it's pathetic.
 
hobarth said:
TO doesn't pay me to figure out how they should/can win.

No, but if your criticism is "In order to win, Toronto needs to do X" you should probably have a pretty firm idea of what X is. Otherwise, it seems like most of your criticism boils down to just the post hoc fallacy. The Leafs didn't win, therefore what they did was wrong.

hobarth said:
Theodore was the player that I had hoped TO would've drafted instead of the Goat, he wasn't someone that Anaheim should've exposed in that expansion draft.

I'm not going to go back and look at Anaheim's roster pre-expansion draft to see if they made the right decision with each of their protection decisions for the draft but either way it seems like it's a very different situation than one where a guy needs a change of situation in order to succeed.

hobarth said:
Teams have coaches for their goalies, they have defensive coaches, PP coaches, PK coaches so why not have motivational coaches, does that not all teams do something mean that doing something different makes that innovation wrong. I think that Cooper is probably a superior motivator as he has a physiological background, do I know that he is, no, but I do know he coached TB to 2 Stanley Cups and an appearance in a 3rd Cup final.

I think most people would say that motivating players is inherently part of the job for those coaches you already listed and that hiring extra "motivation coaches" would probably be of very marginal benefit(and, to be fair, there's no evidence that successful teams have done that).

And sure, the fact that teams haven't done that doesn't mean it couldn't work but I think if you actually try to specifically describe who that motivation coach would be and what he would actually do, it's pretty to come to a place where you could argue for the specifics of it as a plan with a straight face. Seriously, are you hiring a life coach for these guys? Who give them pep talks?

hobarth said:
Having opinions based on TV observations is legitimate, why in your opinion isn't it, because you say so, really?

So I'm not sure how it's possible to so badly misrepresent what I said absent bad faith. I said pretty clearly that you having an opinion on players commitment levels, gleaned through the TV, is a fair enough thing to have an opinion on, it's just not a fertile discussion ground.

Because fundamentally, I don't agree. I don't think the Leafs suffered from a lack of commitment or effort. I think the Leafs lost, very simply, because Tampa is a better team. They have a much better goaltender, they have better defensemen and have better forward depth. That, to me, is why they lost.

There's no real discussion to be had with trying to resolve disagreements on subjective interpretations of a player's mental state. There's just contradiction and, as Monty Python said, contradiction isn't argument.

hobarth said:
He was TO's best center at times with TO, he got the most icetime, he played with Mitch for a year but nothing he did in his past suggested that he was capable of the level of play he maintained this year.

I disagree strongly. If I told you there was a 22 year old player who scored at a 75 point pace, would you really think that it was unbelievable that as a 31 year old he scored at a 100 point pace? Especially if he was on a better team during a year where scoring increased sharply?

That's Kadri. I think he always had that potential. 

hobarth said:
Brunnette isn't their coach and that's a good thing, mountains of info that could make who, Florida fans feel better about losing doesn't amount to anything but their team being a loser, oh ya, just like TO. TO can't even get past the first round against teams like Montreal and Columbus, it's pathetic.

This is not a coherent paragraph.

But, again, this is just post hoc stuff. The Leafs lost, therefore what the Leafs did is wrong. Sometimes you run into a better team.
 
hobarth said:
Bender said:
hobarth said:
I think TO should start the summer by finding out who did whatever to Kadri to wake him up, talent and maturity somehow was drawn out and the results were  incredible.

I remember Kadri as being a borderline 2nd/3rd line center who couldn't pass and had a Marner shot, that player in 71 games had 28 goals and 59 assists, this year, wow.

What could that person do for Nylander, Marner and Matthews or maybe even Kerfoot. These Leafs are all good and some exceptional even but I think there's more in all of them and watching Colorado I could see their best players were giving their all, every game and that's because of a superior motivator, probably, I don't think the same can be said about TO's best during these playoffs.

Am I blaming Keefe, in part yes, am I blaming TO's big 4, in part yes, blaming Rielly, Kerfoot, Mikeyev, sure, I don't think the majority of the team is prepared well enough to succeed in the playoffs. Line changing, d pairings, giving extra icetime to better players and whatever else is all window dressing, motivating is the meat and potatoes of hockey and even more so in the playoffs.


I do find it comical that someone is saying Mitch Marner needs to learn from a guy who has never come close to his point totals despite being considerably older.

Didn't read the post, eh, I said that someone on Colorado actually made Nazzy into a player and that, the someone not Nazzy, is who TO needs.

I find it comical that people with reading comprehension difficulties, comment about anything?

Anyone who still thinks my reading comprehension is a liability can kiss my ass !
 
Look, if they'd just tried a bit harder, they'd have won. That's all it is. They just don't have the same compete level as TB.
 
https://twitter.com/LoafsFan/status/1542172577505886213
Is our biggest hole the old-man hole? lmao
 
I'd actually be interested in Cogliano on a cheap/hometown deal. Always liked him. Him and Kampf would be a solid duo on the 4th line.
 
Nic thinks if your team isn't as good as the other team because of depth then losing is inevitable, I assume he's also saying that Columbus and Montreal were better teams, not necessarily in the regular season but definitely in the playoffs because of their depth. I think TO has had decent depth over the years except in superior player effort/results.

I think TO has been the better team both in regular seasons and in the playoffs but due to the quality of TO's superior players TO has consistently lost in the 1st round. They are paid like they can move mountains but when the crunch comes they wilt, they need to be motivated to give their all like Drisaitl did for Edmonton during these playoffs, TO's stars remind me of Kessel, they shot from the perimeter and don't hang onto the puck when physically challenged, when was the last time you saw Matthews carry the puck to the opposition's net, shot yes carry no, same for Mitch. I don't expect players like Kerfoot or Mikhey to win anything for TO, I simply hope they can hold their own against players of similar ability. JT at least makes himself available to contribute but MM, AM and Willie are generally difficult to see during the crunch, they need to be reminded that they are paid to make TO better than the opposition and play that way in the playoffs or at any time all year long. When I watch Crosby I see a player that seems to take losing personally, that's what we need from AM and MM and from Willie if he seriously wants to be paid like AM and MM. 

Keefe has had 2 years of playoffs to motivate TO to win, he hasn't and I don't think he has the ability to do so, it's time to move on to someone that might be able to coax that extra effort, that desire to win at all costs out of JT, WN, AM and MM. If the desire to win continues to wane from those players then the sooner TO moves on from them the better.
 
 
 
hobarth said:
Nic thinks if your team isn't as good as the other team because of depth then losing is inevitable

You might notice I also said they had better goaltending and defense. Combined with better depth and that doesn't make getting beat inevitable but it does make it the most likely outcome if both teams play well.

Also, I mean, my name has three letters.
 
I'm kinda done with the Spezza, Simmonds, Clifford type 4th liners.

Sure they can come in and give you 8 minutes a night of filler, but I think they need to use that space to bleed young guys that are doing well in the AHL.

The more swings you take the more chances you have at finding a guy who is too good to be kept on the 4th line and your depth improves.

They need to find players that can play meaningful roles on ELC's.
 
WhatIfGodWasALeaf said:
I'm kinda done with the Spezza, Simmonds, Clifford type 4th liners.

Sure they can come in and give you 8 minutes a night of filler, but I think they need to use that space to bleed young guys that are doing well in the AHL.

The more swings you take the more chances you have at finding a guy who is too good to be kept on the 4th line and your depth improves.

They need to find players that can play meaningful roles on ELC's.

I think you can have one, and I think there's value in having one, all be it probably more in the mould of Spezza.

If a Spezza can only offer 10 minutes a night, I don't mind cycling in someone like Nylander for extra shifts, especially if he's playing more of a 3rd line role.

But the other 2 fourth line spots should definitely be used more productively.
 
Arn said:
WhatIfGodWasALeaf said:
I'm kinda done with the Spezza, Simmonds, Clifford type 4th liners.

Sure they can come in and give you 8 minutes a night of filler, but I think they need to use that space to bleed young guys that are doing well in the AHL.

The more swings you take the more chances you have at finding a guy who is too good to be kept on the 4th line and your depth improves.

They need to find players that can play meaningful roles on ELC's.

I think you can have one, and I think there's value in having one, all be it probably more in the mould of Spezza.

If a Spezza can only offer 10 minutes a night, I don't mind cycling in someone like Nylander for extra shifts, especially if he's playing more of a 3rd line role.

But the other 2 fourth line spots should definitely be used more productively.

Love him or hate him, Corey Perry was a beast for Tampa during their playoff run this year and would be the ideal sort of guy to pick up for the 4th line. I guess Simmons was hoped to be in that vein but just doesn't quite have enough left in the tank to play at the level Perry still can -- a danger to score; a capable penalty killer; and big, heavy, tough as nails play shift in and shift out.

I guess in the end it depends on what you're looking for from your 4th line. IMO having them score isn't nearly as useful as having them be able to eat up around 10 minutes of safe and reliable ice time a night and do some crashing and banging along the way. They shouldn't require babysitting from our best defensive pair, and shouldn't spend their shifts buried in our own end. Having one or two of our key penalty killers on that line would be good, too, since it would help keep them fresh for when they're needed. Those sorts of requirements are easier to satisfy from the "old but not quite yet dead" category of player rather than the up-and-coming ELC type.
 
WhatIfGodWasALeaf said:
I'm kinda done with the Spezza, Simmonds, Clifford type 4th liners.

Sure they can come in and give you 8 minutes a night of filler, but I think they need to use that space to bleed young guys that are doing well in the AHL.

The more swings you take the more chances you have at finding a guy who is too good to be kept on the 4th line and your depth improves.

They need to find players that can play meaningful roles on ELC's.

It really depends on what they do with Kampf and where he plays. If they try to keep him in the 3C spot and have that as a checking line then I agree, the 4th line needs to be one that can play at a faster pace and can pot in a few more goals than what we've been used to for the past few years and getting younger guys to play in those roles would help with that.

But if they drop him to the 4C spot (I would argue that every team in the final 4 this year had their version of Kampf on their 4th line) then I think there's still probably room for one more addition of a grindy/defensive/veteran/shutdown 4th liner to maybe go alongside Kampf and say Engvall. This 4th line would also have a much more defined defensive role than the 4th lines we've had in past years which were basically just used as filler like you said.
 
Arn said:
I'm all in on Fleury in on a 2 year deal to be our goalie. Modern version of Belfour.

Would depend on his contract demands but I think he's a legitimate option. I'd be very hesitant to go 2-years though unless it really brings the AAV down a lot.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
Arn said:
I'm all in on Fleury in on a 2 year deal to be our goalie. Modern version of Belfour.

Would depend on his contract demands but I think he's a legitimate option. I'd be very hesitant to go 2-years though unless it really brings the AAV down a lot.

Yeah that was my thinking on the 2 years really. Pay him ?2m a year for 2 years rather than ?3m for one or whatever and if he goes well this year he remains an option for next and if not then there's less cap to bury or he can slide in as a backup or more easily traded.
 
herman said:
https://mapleleafshotstove.com/2022/06/20/maple-leafs-offseason-game-plan-part-1-the-secondary-core-and-team-depth/

MLHS Notebooks are always a good longform read

Part 2
https://mapleleafshotstove.com/2022/06/27/maple-leafs-offseason-game-plan-part-2-the-core/
 

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