Winnipeg's win puts them too far ahead for the Leafs to catch. Highest possible finish for Leafs drops to 22nd (9th worst).
http://www.nhl.com/ice/standings.htm?type=lea#&navid=nav-stn-league
The Leafs are currently 26th (5th worst)
Tampa & Carolina own the tie breaker with the Leafs. A point gained by Tampa in their three remaining games or a point missed by the Leafs in their remaining two games would clinch Tampa finishing ahead of the Leafs. Tampa plays Montreal tonight and the Leafs tomorrow.
If Carolina wins two of four possible points in their two remaining games or the Leafs miss two points in their two remaining games or Carolina gets one point and the Leafs miss one point, Carolina would clinch finishing ahead of the Leafs. Carolina plays Montreal tomorrow.
The Leafs have the tie breaker over Minnesota. Both teams have two games to play while Minnesota has one more point in the standings. The Leafs must get more points than Minnesota does over their last two games to overtake them.
Anaheim and the Leafs are tied in points with two games remaining each. Anaheim currently leads the tie breaker with -25 goal differential vs the Leafs -31. The Leafs must get more points than Anaheim does over their last two games to overtake them or overtake them in goal differential over the last two games while matching them in points.
The Leafs have clinched the tie breaker with the Islanders. The Isles must win two more points than the Leafs over their final two games to pass the Leafs.
The Leafs have clinched the tie breaker over the Habs. If the Habs fail to win all three of their games or the Leafs win a point in their final two games, the Habs will lock up a position below the Leafs in the standings.
In the Habs-Lightning game tonight, if the Habs do not win in regulation or lose, the Leafs final position will tighten to between 4th and 8th worst. If the Habs win in regulation, nothing changes in clinching the standings with the Leafs.
With many teams playing tomorrow, a lot of this will be settled then:
Tampa v Toronto
Winnipeg v Islanders
Montreal v Carolina
Chicago v Minnesota
Anaheim v Edmonton
The most likely position where the Leafs will finish is around where they are - 5th or 6th worst.